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Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 18, 2026

Dajani has New England edging Pittsburgh 16-13 and the Rams beating the Giants 30-21 on a late field goal.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0 of 2calls landed2 close calls · all settled
67.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
54.1A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#23Jordan Dajani’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jordan Dajani said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I have the Rams bouncing back and covering with a late field goal.
Jordan Dajani, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 2 odds, predictions, expert picks: Can blitz-heavy Vikings overtake Bears? Will Cards upset Seahawks?
The original
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  1. SaidSep 18
  2. PlayedSep 20–21
  3. GradedSep 21–22
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams 30 — Giants 21“Jordan Dajani on why he has the Rams covering, 30-21.”
  2. 2New England Patriots 16 — Steelers 13“Jordan Dajani on why he likes the Steelers to cover against the Patriots but has New England pulling out the 16-13 victory.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams 30 — Giants 211Score PredictionsRams 28–669.0550+36.95
New England Patriots 16 — Steelers 132Score PredictionsPatriots 20–366.6758.29+16.24
2 calls · 2 close calls · all settled67.954.1

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 67.9 out of 100, against 54.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams 30 — Giants 21

    What happenedRams 28–6called Rams by 9 · won by 22
    69.05Close · naive 50
    69.05this call50a naive guess19.05better than naive1.94difficulty+36.95skill

    Closing line (Sep 21): Rams by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 30–21 calls a bigger Rams win (by 9) and more points (51). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    6-28
    skill:
    36.95
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    69.05
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.19
    predicted margin:
    9
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots 16 — Steelers 13

    What happenedPatriots 20–3called Patriots by 3 · won by 17
    66.67Close · naive 58.29

    Closing line (Sep 20): Patriots by 4.5, total 41.5 · this 16–13 calls a closer game (Patriots by 3) and fewer points (29). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    16.24
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    66.67
    baseline:
    58.29
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    67.9naive 54.1

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