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Maurice Jones-DrewApr 8, 2025

In their own mock draft, referenced on the show, Maurice Jones-Drew had Tet McMillan going fifth overall to the Jaguars.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

88Hit · out of 100
Went 8What happenedmocked at 5
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
87.81This callout of 100
—Skillafter difficulty

What Maurice Jones-Drew said

Our reading: Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at number 5

Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Mock Draft with Nate Tice!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 8, 2025
  2. GradedOct 1, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 87.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
5They said
8What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksTetairoa McMillanJacksonville Jaguars

    Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at number 5

    What happenedWent 8mocked at 5
    87.81Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Tetairoa McMillan
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

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