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Evan TarraccianoAug 28, 2026

Tarracciano names four running backs they are fading in 2026 drafts: Javonte Williams (too pricey at RB14), Bucky Irving (overdrafted at RB21 with injury and role concerns), David Montgomery (upside capped by a near 50-50 split with Woody Marks) and Bhayshul Tuten (won't deliver the breakout others expect).

Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Evan Tarracciano said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Here are four running backs I’m actively passing on in drafts this season
Evan Tarracciano, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
FantasyPros
The piece
4 Fantasy Football Busts to Avoid: Running Backs (2026)
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Javonte Williams to fall short of his draft cost (his current RB14 ranking)“I’ve long been a supporter of his physical traits, but with his current RB14 ranking, I can’t envision a scenario where he returns value at his current cost.”
  2. 2Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (the RB21)“Like Williams above, I feel that Irving is currently being overdrafted as the RB21, and it is difficult to trust him to stay healthy for an entire season.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Javonte Williams to fall short of his draft cost (his current RB14 ranking)1Fantasy Bust Calls————
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (the RB21)2Fantasy Bust Calls————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 2 fantasy bust calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Fantasy Bust CallsJavonte WilliamsDallas Cowboys

    Javonte Williams to fall short of his draft cost (his current RB14 ranking)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Fantasy Bust CallsBucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (the RB21)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More fantasy bust calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.