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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 24, 2025

Cowherd predicts Cooper Flagg goes No. 1 and averages roughly 18-20 points as a rookie, with Dallas a playoff team and the second-best team in the West. In the NFL they pick the Chargers to win the AFC West as an 11-12 win team, the Chiefs as a wild card, Mike Tomlin's Steelers to post their first losing record at about 8-9 wins, and Miami to fire both Mike McDaniel and Chris Greer with Buffalo winning the division. They also believe Josh Allen will win a Super Bowl and thinks the Giants could go 3-14.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 8calls landed3 hits · 1 close call · 4 misses · 1 waiting
41.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 8 calls
39.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
8 of 9Settled1 still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

So I like the Chargers to win the division.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote
The episode
Hour 1 - Bold Predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJun 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

How each call scored

9 checkable claims — 3 season win totals, 2 division winners, 1 depth chart call, 1 playoff pick, 1 super bowl pick and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

8 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 41.5 out of 100, against 39.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Division Winners2 missesShow ▸
  1. Los Angeles Chargers to win the division

    “So I like the Chargers to win the division.”

    Los Angeles Chargers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Buffalo Bills to win the division

    “Buffalo is winning the division, third place against both the GM and the coach removed.”

    Buffalo Bills

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals2 hits · 1 close callShow ▸
  1. Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 11 wins

    “I think they're an eleven twelve win team.”

    Los Angeles Chargers

    11called 11
    100Hit

    100 − 75 naive = 25 × 2 difficulty = +50 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    LAC
    naive:
    9.75
    skill:
    50
    what happened:
    11
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    75
    they said:
    11
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 8 wins

    “I don't think they're going to be a six win team, but I think eight is probably the number. Mike Tomlin finally losing record.”

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    10called 8
    60Close

    60 − 85 naive = −25 × 2 difficulty = −50 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    naive:
    9.25
    skill:
    −50
    what happened:
    10
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    60
    baseline:
    85
    they said:
    8
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. New York Giants to finish with 3 wins

    “Again, I was gonna say three to fourteen is not off the radar.”

    New York Giants

    4called 3
    80Hit

    80 − 65 naive = 15 × 2 difficulty = +30 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    NYG
    naive:
    5.75
    skill:
    30
    what happened:
    4
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    65
    they said:
    3
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks1 missShow ▸
  1. Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs

    “I think Kansas City is a wild card team.”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    KC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl Picks1 missShow ▸
  1. Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl

    “Let's say he doesn't win a ring. I think he will and I think he'll win a couple”

    Buffalo Bills

    SEA won itpicked BUF
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls1 hitShow ▸
  1. Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart

    “my take is, I didn't love the draft of Jackson Dart because Russell's gonna start”

    Russell WilsonNew York Giants

    No. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards
    91.67Hit

    91.67 − 91.67 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    NYG
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Russell Wilson
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Pittsburgh Steelers to beat expectations

    “Mike Tomlin and the Steelers after eighteen years when a losing record will have one”

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.