Nic BodifordAug 27, 2026
A PFF fantasy piece argues Dak Prescott is a bargain mid-to-high QB1 at their ADP, Justin Herbert is undervalued (especially on ESPN) thanks to a quick-passing scheme upgrade, and Jared Goff is the latest-drafted contender for the overall QB1 finish who should contend for the league lead in passing touchdowns.
Published in writing · Pro Football FocusRead the original
What Nic Bodiford said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromPrescott is a mid-to-high QB1 with high-end QB1 upside.
- Where it was published
- Pro Football Focus
- The piece
- Fantasy Football 2026: Must-draft quarterbacks for home leagues
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- 1Dak Prescott to outplay his draft cost (6.12, QB9 Yahoo! average draft position (ADP) and 6.11, QB9 ESPN ADP)“His 6.12, QB9 Yahoo! average draft position (ADP) and 6.11, QB9 ESPN ADP allow fantasy managers to draft him at a bargain.”
- 2Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (9.01, QB14 ESPN ADP)“Herbert’s Yahoo! ADP is reasonable. His ESPN ADP makes for an exceptionally low buying opportunity.”
- 3Jared Goff to finish top 1 at his position, by passing tds“He should have an extremely productive season, contending for the league lead in passing touchdowns.”
- 4Dak Prescott to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points“Prescott is a mid-to-high QB1 with high-end QB1 upside.”
- 5Jared Goff to outplay his draft cost (10.09, QB17 Yahoo! ADP and 11.11, QB16 ESPN ADP)“Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff’s 10.09, QB17 Yahoo! ADP and 11.11, QB16 ESPN ADP make him the latest-drafted contender for the overall QB1 finish.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott to outplay his draft cost (6.12, QB9 Yahoo! average draft position (ADP) and 6.11, QB9 ESPN ADP)1 | Sleeper Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (9.01, QB14 ESPN ADP)2 | Sleeper Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Jared Goff to finish top 1 at his position, by passing tds3 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| Dak Prescott to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points4 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| Jared Goff to outplay his draft cost (10.09, QB17 Yahoo! ADP and 11.11, QB16 ESPN ADP)5 | Sleeper Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 5 calls · 5 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
5 checkable claims — 3 sleeper calls and 2 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Sleeper CallsDak PrescottDallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott to outplay his draft cost (6.12, QB9 Yahoo! average draft position (ADP) and 6.11, QB9 ESPN ADP)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Sleeper CallsJustin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers
Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (9.01, QB14 ESPN ADP)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Positional FinishesJared GoffDetroit Lions
Jared Goff to finish top 1 at his position, by passing tds
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Positional FinishesDak PrescottDallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Sleeper CallsJared GoffDetroit Lions
Jared Goff to outplay his draft cost (10.09, QB17 Yahoo! ADP and 11.11, QB16 ESPN ADP)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Micah Parsons · Miss 0
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.Christian Booher · Roster Spot Calls · Anthony Lucas · Miss 0
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Building their projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell.
More sleeper calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Sleeper Calls · Travis Hunter · Hit 100
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Sleeper Calls · Tyler Warren · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Pat Fitzmaurice · Sleeper Calls · Rashee Rice · Miss 0
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.Joe Pisapia · Sleeper Calls · Tyreek Hill · Miss 0
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.