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Charles DavisApr 1, 2026

In their mock draft 3.0, discussed on the show, Davis has Fernando Mendoza first overall to the Raiders and seven other offensive skill players in the first round, including Ty Simpson at No. 3 and Kenyon Sadiq at No. 11.

Said on air or in an interview · The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 8calls landed5 hits · 3 close calls · all settled
83.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 8 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
8 of 8Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Charles Davis said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Number One Fernando Mendoza going to the Raiders.
Charles Davis, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Breaking Down Charles Davis’ Mock Draft 3.0
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 12, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMar 31
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1Ty Simpson to be picked at number 3“At number three, though, Florio Charles Davis goes to Ty Simpson to the Arizona Cardinals”
  2. 2Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“Number One Fernando Mendoza going to the Raiders shocking”
  3. 3Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8“at the number eight spot, Charles Davis has these Saints taking Jordan Tyson”
  4. 4Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11“At number eleven. According to Charles Davis, the Dolphins taking Kenyon Sadiq”
  5. 5Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6“At number six, Charles has the Browns taking Carnal tape”
  6. 6Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13“the next step on the list at number thirteen, Your boy, it's kaya limit to the Panthers”
  7. 7Omar Cooper to be picked at number 21“last one twenty one, the Steelers taking Omar Cooper Junior”
  8. 8Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 5“up next at number five, Je're my Love going to the Giants”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 31Mock Draft PicksWent 1364.8450+42.86
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 12Mock Draft PicksWent 110050+42.86
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 83Mock Draft PicksWent 810050+42.86
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 114Mock Draft PicksWent 1680.5250+42.86
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 65Mock Draft PicksWent 491.750+42.86
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 136Mock Draft PicksWent 2073.8450+42.86
Omar Cooper to be picked at number 217Mock Draft PicksWent 3067.7150+42.86
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 58Mock Draft PicksWent 391.750+42.86
8 calls · 5 hits · 3 close calls · all settled83.850

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

8 checkable claims — 8 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 83.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
3They said
13What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonArizona Cardinals

    Ty Simpson to be picked at number 3

    What happenedWent 13mocked at 3
    64.84Close · naive 50
    92.86this mock’s order50a shuffled mock42.86better than naive1difficulty+42.86skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    42.86
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    92.86
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    92.86this mock’s order50a shuffled mock42.86better than naive1difficulty+42.86skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    42.86
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    92.86
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksJordyn TysonNew Orleans Saints

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8

    What happenedWent 8mocked at 8
    100Hit · naive 50
    92.86this mock’s order50a shuffled mock42.86better than naive1difficulty+42.86skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    42.86
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    92.86
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqMiami Dolphins

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11

    What happenedWent 16mocked at 11
    80.52Hit · naive 50
    92.86this mock’s order50a shuffled mock42.86better than naive1difficulty+42.86skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    42.86
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    92.86
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateCleveland Browns

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6

    What happenedWent 4mocked at 6
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    92.86this mock’s order50a shuffled mock42.86better than naive1difficulty+42.86skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    42.86
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    92.86
    Think this is wrong?
  6. 6Mock Draft PicksMakai LemonCarolina Panthers

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    What happenedWent 20mocked at 13
    73.84Close · naive 50
    92.86this mock’s order50a shuffled mock42.86better than naive1difficulty+42.86skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    42.86
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    92.86
    Think this is wrong?
  7. 7Mock Draft PicksOmar CooperPittsburgh Steelers

    Omar Cooper to be picked at number 21

    What happenedWent 30mocked at 21
    67.71Close · naive 50
    92.86this mock’s order50a shuffled mock42.86better than naive1difficulty+42.86skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    42.86
    player:
    Omar Cooper
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    67.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    30
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    67.71
    predicted pick:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    92.86
    Think this is wrong?
  8. 8Mock Draft PicksJeremiyah LoveNew York Giants

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 5

    What happenedWent 3mocked at 5
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    92.86this mock’s order50a shuffled mock42.86better than naive1difficulty+42.86skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    42.86
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    92.86
    Think this is wrong?
  9. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 8 settled calls, each counted once

    83.8naive 50

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