Gene ChamberlainOct 17, 2026
Chamberlain picks the Falcons to beat the Bears in Atlanta in Week 6, 26-24, while giving the Bears the edge in the passing game and the Falcons the edge in the running game and intangibles.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Gene Chamberlain said
Gene Chamberlain's pick: Falcons 26, Bears 24
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons: Who Wins and Why for Week 6
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 17
- PlayedOct 18
- GradedOct 18
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 35.7 out of 100, against 31 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsAtlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons 26 — Bears 24
What happenedBears 31–23called Falcons by 2 · lost by 835.71Miss · naive 30.9535.71this call−30.95a naive guess=4.76better than naive×1.72difficulty=+8.19skillClosing line (Oct 18): Bears by 1.5, total 51.5 · this 26–24 calls a Falcons win (by 2; the line gave the Falcons 48%) and fewer points (50).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 31-23
- skill:
- 8.19
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 35.71
- baseline:
- 30.95
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0
- predicted margin:
- 2
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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