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Kirk HerbstreitNov 12, 2026

Asked to pick the Super Bowl matchup at the midpoint of the season, Herbstreit named Jacksonville and Chicago as the two teams they expect to get there.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)Hear the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Kirk Herbstreit said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
if you picked right now who's going to the Super Bowl, here's mine, Jacksonville, Chicago, Super Bowl
Kirk Herbstreit, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
PMS 2.0 1665 - TNF Preview/Picks, Former Boise State RB Ian Johnson, Kirk Herbstreit, Chuck Pagano, & AJ Hawk
The original
Hear the original
  1. 1Jacksonville Jaguars to reach the Super Bowl“if you picked right now who's going to the Super Bowl, here's mine, Jacksonville, Chicago, Super Bowl... I got I got them and the Bears in the Super Bowl.”
  2. 2Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl“if you picked right now who's going to the Super Bowl, here's mine, Jacksonville, Chicago, Super Bowl... I got I got them and the Bears in the Super Bowl.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jacksonville Jaguars to reach the Super Bowl1Conference Champions————
Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl2Conference Champions————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 2 conference champions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against the record

Reaches the Super BowlThey said
Did not reach it2025

Their call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to reach the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Conference ChampionsChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.