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Bradley LockerNov 12, 2026

Reviewing midseason Wins Above Replacement leaders, Locker suggests Joe Burrow is on track to win their first MVP award and floats Giants rookie linebacker Arvell Reese as a possible 2026 Defensive Rookie of the Year.

Published in writing · Pro Football FocusRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Bradley Locker said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
His 93.7 overall PFF grade and 92.5 PFF passing grade are easily the best among qualifiers, putting him in position to potentially take home his first career MVP award.
Bradley Locker, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Pro Football Focus
The piece
2026 NFL WAR: The five most valuable players at every position this season
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Arvell Reese to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“The players tied for fifth include two of the three highest-graded linebackers in Miller and Warner, plus the 2025 and potentially 2026 Defensive Rookies of the Year.”
  2. 2Joe Burrow to win MVP“His 93.7 overall PFF grade and 92.5 PFF passing grade are easily the best among qualifiers, putting him in position to potentially take home his first career MVP award.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Arvell Reese to win Defensive Rookie of the Year1Award Picks————
Joe Burrow to win MVP2Award Picks————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 2 award picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksArvell ReeseNew York Giants

    Arvell Reese to win Defensive Rookie of the Year

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.