Bradley LockerNov 12, 2026
Reviewing midseason Wins Above Replacement leaders, Locker suggests Joe Burrow is on track to win their first MVP award and floats Giants rookie linebacker Arvell Reese as a possible 2026 Defensive Rookie of the Year.
Published in writing · Pro Football FocusRead the original
What Bradley Locker said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromHis 93.7 overall PFF grade and 92.5 PFF passing grade are easily the best among qualifiers, putting him in position to potentially take home his first career MVP award.
- Where it was published
- Pro Football Focus
- The piece
- 2026 NFL WAR: The five most valuable players at every position this season
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- 1Arvell Reese to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“The players tied for fifth include two of the three highest-graded linebackers in Miller and Warner, plus the 2025 and potentially 2026 Defensive Rookies of the Year.”
- 2Joe Burrow to win MVP“His 93.7 overall PFF grade and 92.5 PFF passing grade are easily the best among qualifiers, putting him in position to potentially take home his first career MVP award.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvell Reese to win Defensive Rookie of the Year1 | Award Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Joe Burrow to win MVP2 | Award Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 2 calls · 2 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
2 checkable claims — 2 award picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Award PicksArvell ReeseNew York Giants
Arvell Reese to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Award PicksJoe BurrowCincinnati Bengals
Joe Burrow to win MVP
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.
More award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Willie Colon · Award Picks · Sam Darnold · Miss 0
Colon picked the Seahawks to win 24-14 with Sam Darnold as Super Bowl MVP.Danny Parkins · Award Picks · Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Miss 0
Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP.