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Daniel Jeremiah#25 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 16, 2026

In a joint top-10 mock draft, Jeremiah gave the Raiders quarterback Mendoza first overall, Arizona tackle Mali Noah at No. 3, the Giants receiver Carneal Tate at No. 5, Washington's Ruben Bain at No. 7 and Makai Lemon to the Chiefs at No. 9. They also floated McCoy from Tennessee going to Dallas at 12 and Malachi Fields late in the first round.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 7calls landed2 hits · 3 close calls · 2 misses · 1 waiting
60.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 7 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
7 of 8Settled1 still waiting
#25Daniel Jeremiah’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Daniel Jeremiah said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Mendoza makes too much sense for Vegas. I don't think they pass on him with the first pick.
Daniel Jeremiah, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
How Coaching Changes Reshape Draft Boards + Alternating Mock Draft 1.0
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 16
  2. GradedAug 5
  1. 1Malachi Fields to be picked “late in the first round” (picks 1–32)“I put Malachi Fields in there. Okay, late in the first round to a team that could be looking for a little size at the wide receiver position”
  2. 2Carnell Tate to be picked at number 5“I ended up going with Carneal Tate... So I want I'm gonna go Tate to five.”
  3. 3Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“So first chick got the Vegas go Mendoza that they need the quarterback... Mendoza makes too much sense for Vegas. I don't think they pass on him with the first pick.”
  4. 4Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12“What if I told you that the secondary though, that if they took McCoy from Tennessee... arguably the best corner in the draft or right there at the best corner of the draft of twelve?”
  5. 5Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3“I get to Arizona... Mali Noah out of Miami can plug right in at right tackle.”
  6. 6Makai Lemon to be picked at number 9“All right, I'm up with the Kansas City Chiefs... I'm gonna take Mikyle Lemon. He's just too good of a football player”
  7. 7Rueben Bain to be picked at number 7“I get to Washington here, Washington coming up at pick number seven, I'm gonna go with Baine.”
  8. 8Tua Tagovailoa to move“I'm sure they're gonna do the same thing with Tua, whether or not they could find a trade partner, which may be difficult, or you just release them.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Malachi Fields to be picked “late in the first round” (picks 1–32)1Mock Draft PicksWent 7416.2150+47.14
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 52Mock Draft PicksWent 495.7650+47.14
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 13Mock Draft PicksWent 110050+47.14
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 124Mock Draft PicksWent 1012.1250+47.14
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 35Mock Draft PicksWent 1073.8450+47.14
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 96Mock Draft PicksWent 2062.0950+47.14
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 77Mock Draft PicksWent 1570.7150+47.14
Tua Tagovailoa to move8Trade and Signing Calls————
8 calls · 2 hits · 3 close calls · 2 misses · 1 waiting60.150

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

8 checkable claims — 7 mock draft picks and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 60.1 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
late in the first round (picks 1–32)They said
74What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksMalachi Fields

    Malachi Fields to be picked “late in the first round” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 74
    16.21Miss · naive 50
    97.14this mock’s order50a shuffled mock47.14better than naive1difficulty+47.14skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    47.14
    player:
    Malachi Fields
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    16.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    74
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    16.21
    predicted pick:
    late in the first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    97.14
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateNew York Giants

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 5

    What happenedWent 4mocked at 5
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    97.14this mock’s order50a shuffled mock47.14better than naive1difficulty+47.14skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    47.14
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    97.14
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    97.14this mock’s order50a shuffled mock47.14better than naive1difficulty+47.14skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    47.14
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    97.14
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksJermod McCoyDallas Cowboys

    Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12

    What happenedWent 101mocked at 12
    2.12Miss · naive 50
    97.14this mock’s order50a shuffled mock47.14better than naive1difficulty+47.14skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    47.14
    player:
    Jermod McCoy
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    2.12
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    101
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    2.12
    predicted pick:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    97.14
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Mock Draft PicksFrancis MauigoaArizona Cardinals

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3

    What happenedWent 10mocked at 3
    73.84Close · naive 50
    97.14this mock’s order50a shuffled mock47.14better than naive1difficulty+47.14skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    47.14
    player:
    Francis Mauigoa
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    97.14
    Think this is wrong?
  6. 6Mock Draft PicksMakai LemonKansas City Chiefs

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 9

    What happenedWent 20mocked at 9
    62.09Close · naive 50
    97.14this mock’s order50a shuffled mock47.14better than naive1difficulty+47.14skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    47.14
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    62.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    62.09
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    97.14
    Think this is wrong?
  7. 7Mock Draft PicksRueben BainWashington Commanders

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 7

    What happenedWent 15mocked at 7
    70.71Close · naive 50
    97.14this mock’s order50a shuffled mock47.14better than naive1difficulty+47.14skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    47.14
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    97.14
    Think this is wrong?
  8. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  9. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once

    60.1naive 50

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