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Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 16, 2026

Dajani picks the Texans to beat the Jaguars outright in London, citing DeMeco Ryans calling defensive plays and C.J. Stroud's improved play, with a final score of 21-18.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Texans 34–31What happenedcalled Texans by 3 · won by 3
42.86A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#23Jordan Dajani’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jordan Dajani said

Prediction: Texans 21, Jaguars 18
Our reading: Houston Texans 21 — Jaguars 18
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
End of Dodgers dynasty? Brewers sweep champs en route to World Series; Broncos stifle Seahawks in OT
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 16
  2. PlayedOct 18
  3. GradedOct 18

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 42.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsHouston Texans

    Houston Texans 21 — Jaguars 18

    What happenedTexans 34–31called Texans by 3 · won by 3
    100Hit · naive 42.86
    100this call42.86a naive guess57.14better than naive1.72difficulty+98.29skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Jaguars by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 21–18 calls a Texans win (by 3; the line gave the Texans 44%) and fewer points (39).

    How this was scored
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    98.29
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    42.86
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?

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