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Brandon GrahamSep 4, 2025

Picked Zack Baun to win Defensive Player of the Year, said the Chargers will win the AFC West, and predicted an Eagles–Bills Super Bowl without naming a winner.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 4calls landed4 misses · all settled
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Brandon Graham said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I say they get over the hump this year and it'll be Eagles and Bills for sure
Brandon Graham, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Thursday Hour 2: Super Bowl picks! Brandon Graham & Ross Tucker join!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 4, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026
  1. 1Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl“it'll be Eagles and Bills for sure”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl“it'll be Eagles and Bills for sure”
  3. 3Los Angeles Chargers to win the division“I'm looking for the Chargers to be that new r and chest Rain and champion in the West”
  4. 4Isaiah Bond to win Defensive Player of the Year“I'm gonna keep it Eagles because Zach Bond last year... But I think he'll repeat this year”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl1Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl2Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division3Division Winners—000
Isaiah Bond to win Defensive Player of the Year4Award PicksMyles Garrett won000
4 calls · 4 misses · all settled00

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 award pick and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked PHI
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Conference ChampionsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked BUF
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Division WinnersLos Angeles Chargers

    Los Angeles Chargers to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Award PicksIsaiah BondPhiladelphia Eagles

    Isaiah Bond to win Defensive Player of the Year

    What happenedMyles Garrett woncalled Isaiah Bond
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Isaiah Bond
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Myles Garrett
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 0

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.