Skip to main content

Manti Te'o#65 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 1, 2025

Manti picked Giants edge Abdul Carter as Defensive Rookie of the Year, Colts tight end Tyler Warren as Offensive Rookie of the Year, and Dan Campbell as Coach of the Year.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 3calls landed3 misses · all settled
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#65Manti Te'o’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Manti Te'o said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So I got Abdul Carter as a defensive Rookie of the Year.
Manti Te'o, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Monday Hour 2: Brazil Matchup, Bills/Ravens rematch, and Rookie of the Year Predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 1, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Abdul Carter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“And that is Abdull Carter. Of the New York Giants. Will win. He's got to defensive Rookie of the Year.”
  2. 2Tyler Warren to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“I have the former Nitty Lion another one and Tyler Warren as my offensive Rookie of the Year.”
  3. 3Dan Campbell to win NFL Coach of the Year“our NFL Coach of the Year picks for twenty twenty five Manti Dan Campbell”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Abdul Carter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year1Award PicksCarson Schwesinger won000
Tyler Warren to win Offensive Rookie of the Year2Award PicksTetairoa McMillan won000
Dan Campbell to win NFL Coach of the Year3Coach Award PicksMike Vrabel won000
3 calls · 3 misses · all settled00

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksAbdul CarterNew York Giants

    Abdul Carter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year

    What happenedCarson Schwesinger woncalled Abdul Carter
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jared Verse, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Abdul Carter
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Carson Schwesinger
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Award PicksTyler WarrenIndianapolis Colts

    Tyler Warren to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

    What happenedTetairoa McMillan woncalled Tyler Warren
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Tyler Warren
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Tetairoa McMillan
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Coach Award Picks

    Dan Campbell to win NFL Coach of the Year

    What happenedMike Vrabel woncalled Dan Campbell
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    coach_of_the_year
    coach:
    Dan Campbell
    naive:
    the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Mike Vrabel
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 0

Others on the same people

More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.