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Mike MayockApr 10, 2026

Mayock says up to seven offensive tackles could go in the first round, singles out Georgia's Freeling as a riser who could go as early as No. 6 to the Browns and be the best left tackle from this class in three years, and pegs Indiana's Omar Cooper as the fourth wide receiver off the board. They also worry about Ty Simpson being pushed into the first round, ideally landing in the second round with the Rams, and mentions Seattle possibly taking them at 16.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 3calls landed3 close calls · all settled
56.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
38.2A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Mike Mayock said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think he's going to be the best left tackle, coming out of this draft three years from now.
Mike Mayock, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode
Hour 3: Rich’s Top 5 NFL Comeback Player Candidates, plus Mike Mayock Talks NFL Draft
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidApr 10
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 6“He's going to go higher, I think, than people think. I mean, I could see him as early as six to the Browns.”
  2. 2Omar Cooper to be 4th wide receiver off the board“I think he'll probably be the fourth wide out off the board.”
  3. 3Ty Simpson to be picked “second round to the Rams” (picks 33–64)“he, ideally, would go on the second round to the Rams and sit behind Matthew Stafford for two years”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 61Mock Draft PicksWent 1956.9450—
Omar Cooper to be 4th wide receiver off the board2Position Order Calls—70.7114.51+56.2
Ty Simpson to be picked “second round to the Rams” (picks 33–64)3Mock Draft PicksWent 1342.0450—
3 calls · 3 close calls · all settled56.638.2

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 56.6 out of 100, against 38.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
6They said
19What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksMonroe Freeling

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 6

    What happenedWent 19mocked at 6
    56.94Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Monroe Freeling
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    19
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Position Order CallsOmar Cooper

    Omar Cooper to be 4th wide receiver off the board

    VerdictClose
    70.71Close · naive 14.51
    70.71this call14.51a naive guess56.2better than naive1difficulty+56.2skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 36 at random averages 14.51
    skill:
    56.2
    player:
    Omar Cooper
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    14.51
    position:
    wide receiver
    class size:
    36
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    5
    predicted order:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksTy Simpson

    Ty Simpson to be picked “second round to the Rams” (picks 33–64)

    What happenedWent 13
    42.04Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    42.04
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    42.04
    predicted pick:
    second round to the Rams (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    56.6naive 38.2

Who this take is about

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