Nick CrossApr 15, 2025

Nick Cross called Dak Prescott a top-ten quarterback in the regular season, and predicted Penn State safety Kevin Winston Jr. would be drafted early on day two.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 close call · 1 waiting

41.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call

0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

1 of 2Settled1 still waiting

1Waitingnot graded yet

What Nick Cross said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I think he's the top ten quarterback in the regular season.

Nick Cross, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode: GMFB Tuesday Hour 1: Is Dak Prescott top-10? Jalen Ramsey & Dolphins split? Best PICK 6'S!
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidApr 15, 2025
GradedAug 7, 2026

1Dak Prescott to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards“I think when Dak is healthy in the regular season, I think he's very effective. I think he's the top ten quarterback in the regular season.”
2Kevin Winston Jr. to be picked “day two early”“Someone who I expect to go out there and get picked up, you know, day two early and be an immediate impact on a team.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Dak Prescott to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards¹	Positional Finishes	Finished #3	41.67	0	+83.33
Kevin Winston Jr. to be picked “day two early”²	Mock Draft Picks	—	—	—	—
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 waiting			41.7	0

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 41.7 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Dak Prescott · 2025 season · positional finish

Nick Cross — 10 positional finishthe room — 5 calls from 5 punditsmedian 10 positional finishwhat happened — 3 positional finish

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

positional finish

10They said

3What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Positional Finishes Dak Prescott Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards
What happenedFinished #3called #10 · by passing yards
41.67Close · naive 0
41.67this call0a naive guess41.67better than naive2difficulty+83.33skill
How this was scored
skill:
83.33
player:
Dak Prescott
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
12
accuracy:
41.67
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
passing yards
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
31
actual finish:
3
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
10
Think this is wrong?
2Mock Draft Picks Kevin Winston Jr.
Kevin Winston Jr. to be picked “day two early”
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

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