Logan RyanApr 15, 2025
Logan Ryan ranked the NFL's quarterbacks, naming a top seven (which they said was in no particular order) and then filling out spots eight through twelve, concluding Dak Prescott is the 12th-best quarterback in the league and not a top-ten player.
Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original
What Logan Ryan said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromHe's not in that top seven. He's in that next you know, Jared golf Baker justin Herbert category.
- Where it was said
- Move the Sticks (podcast)
- The episode
- GMFB Tuesday Hour 1: Is Dak Prescott top-10? Jalen Ramsey & Dolphins split? Best PICK 6'S!
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidApr 15, 2025
- GradedAug 7, 2026
- 1Dak Prescott to finish top 12 at his position, by passing yards“I mean, if you're the twelfth best quarterback in the world, that there's no shade there. I just don't think he's in the top ten.”
- 2Top Player Lists“We got my homes, Alan. Lamar Jackson really right, Burrow... Got to put Hurts up there... Matthew Stafford still elite... Jaden Daniels is the future of this league... I got Jared Off, I got Baker Mayfield. That's nine... Baker Golf, Jordan Love... I got my boy perty at eleven... if you're the twelfth best quarterback in the world”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott to finish top 12 at his position, by passing yards1 | Positional Finishes | Finished #3 | 25 | 0 | +50 | |
| “We got my homes, Alan. Lamar Jackson really right, Burrow...…”2 | Top Player Lists | — | 55.94 | 50 | +11.89 | |
| 2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled | 40.5 | 25 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive2 checkable claims — 1 positional finish and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 40.5 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Dak Prescott · 2025 season · positional finish5 calls from 5 pundits between 3 positional finish and 12 positional finish. Logan Ryan said 12 positional finish. the room's median is 10 positional finish. what happened: 3 positional finish
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
1Positional FinishesDak PrescottDallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott to finish top 12 at his position, by passing yards
What happenedFinished #3called #12 · by passing yards25Miss · naive 025this call−0a naive guess=25better than naive×2difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Dak Prescott
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 25
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 31
- actual finish:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 12
“We got my homes, Alan. Lamar Jackson really right, Burrow... Got to put Hurts up there... Matthew Stafford still elite... Jaden Daniels is the future of this league... I got Jared Off, I got Baker Mayfield. That's nine... Baker Golf, Jordan Love... I got my boy perty at eleven... if you're the twelfth best quarterback in the world”
VerdictClose55.94Close · naive 5055.94this call−50a naive guess=5.94better than naive×2difficulty=+11.89skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 11.89
- placed:
- 12
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 55.94
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 12: 55.94
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
40.5naive 25
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Micah Parsons · Miss 0
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.Randy Gurzi · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Hudson · Miss 0
Gurzi predicts the Cowboys' 17-man practice squad, naming each player they expect Dallas to sign, including a surprise addition of released Giants tackle Evan Neal. They also predict Jaydon Blue will be claimed off waivers by another team and that Sam Williams will land elsewhere.Jeff Cavanaugh · Roster Spot Calls · Marist Liufau · Hit 100
Building their projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nick Wright · Positional Finishes · Puka Nacua · Close 75
Nick Wright picked the Ravens to beat Houston this weekend even with Lamar Jackson possibly out (leaning on Derrick Henry and Cooper Rush), the Chiefs to win in Jacksonville, and the Rams to beat the 49ers on Thursday night. They also laid out an AFC playoff field of Bills, Steelers, Chiefs, Chargers and Colts, projected the Chiefs' receiver pecking order once Rashee Rice returns, and called Justin Jefferson the best receiver in football with Puka Nacua a top-five receiver.Rich Hribar · Positional Finishes · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Hribar published their 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how they prioritize drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.Chris Brockman · Positional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Hit 100
Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called their shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.Ryan Tracy · Positional Finishes · Bryan Cook · Miss 0
Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; they name Brian Robinson as their target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.Pat Gustavson · Positional Finishes · Bijan Robinson · Close 75
Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out their own coaching landing spots.