Jared Dubin#60 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 8, 2026

Dubin picked final scores for the same seven Week 5 games, including Dallas routing Tampa Bay, Jacksonville edging Philadelphia, Chicago over Green Bay, Indianapolis over Pittsburgh, Seattle over San Francisco, Atlanta over Baltimore and the Rams over Buffalo.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 7calls landed1 hit · 3 close calls · 3 misses · all settled

42.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 7 calls

53.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

7Games calledeveryone’s picks below

#60Jared Dubin’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jared Dubin said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Dallas' offense is too much for Tampa — or anyone else — to handle.

Jared Dubin, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: CBS Sports
The piece: NFL Week 5 picks: Experts face off on Buccaneers at Cowboys, 49ers at Seahawks and more
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 8
PlayedOct 8–12
GradedOct 9–13

1Los Angeles Rams 28 — Bills 24“Prediction: Rams 28, Bills 24”
2Atlanta Falcons 24 — Ravens 17“Prediction: Falcons 24, Ravens 17”
3Seattle Seahawks 24 — 49ers 21“Prediction: Seahawks 24, 49ers 21”
4Indianapolis Colts 20 — Steelers 16“Prediction: Colts 20, Steelers 16”
5Chicago Bears 23 — Packers 20“Prediction: Bears 23, Packers 20”
6Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Eagles 17“Prediction: Jaguars 23, Eagles 17”
7Dallas Cowboys 34 — Buccaneers 17“Prediction: Cowboys 34, Buccaneers 17”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Los Angeles Rams 28 — Bills 24¹	Score Predictions	Bills 37–34	47.62	43.52	+7.3
Atlanta Falcons 24 — Ravens 17²	Score Predictions	Ravens 30–23	50	34.1	+28.31
Seattle Seahawks 24 — 49ers 21³	Score Predictions	49ers 32–29	50	43.62	+11.36
Indianapolis Colts 20 — Steelers 16⁴	Score Predictions	Steelers 34–22	30.95	73.52	−75.77
Chicago Bears 23 — Packers 20⁵	Score Predictions	Packers 31–7	0	50	−89
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Eagles 17⁶	Score Predictions	Jaguars 19–17	90.48	96.54	−10.79
Dallas Cowboys 34 — Buccaneers 17⁷	Score Predictions	Buccaneers 24–16	28.57	32.2	−6.45
7 calls · 1 hit · 3 close calls · 3 misses · all settled			42.5	53.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

7 checkable claims — 7 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 42.5 out of 100, against 53.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams 28 — Bills 24
What happenedBills 37–34called Rams by 4 · lost by 3
47.62Close · naive 43.52
47.62this call43.52a naive guess4.1better than naive1.78difficulty+7.3skill
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 28–24 calls a bigger Rams win (by 4) and fewer points (52).
How this was scored
score:
37-34
skill:
7.3
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
43.52
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.28
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons 24 — Ravens 17
What happenedRavens 30–23called Falcons by 7 · lost by 7
50Close · naive 34.1
50this call34.1a naive guess15.9better than naive1.78difficulty+28.31skill
Closing line (Oct 11): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Falcons win (by 7) and fewer points (41).
How this was scored
score:
30-23
skill:
28.31
they picked:
ATL
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
34.1
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
3Score Predictions Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 24 — 49ers 21
What happened49ers 32–29called Seahawks by 3 · lost by 3
50Close · naive 43.62
50this call43.62a naive guess6.38better than naive1.78difficulty+11.36skill
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 24–21 calls the line’s margin (Seahawks by 3) and fewer points (45).
How this was scored
score:
32-29
skill:
11.36
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
43.62
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
4Score Predictions Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts 20 — Steelers 16
What happenedSteelers 34–22called Colts by 4 · lost by 12
30.95Miss · naive 73.52
30.95this call73.52a naive guess−42.57worse than naive1.78difficulty−75.77skill
Closing line (Oct 11): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 20–16 calls a Colts win (by 4; the line gave the Colts 41%) and fewer points (36).
How this was scored
score:
22-34
skill:
−75.77
they picked:
IND
season:
2026
accuracy:
30.95
baseline:
73.52
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
5Score Predictions Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears 23 — Packers 20
What happenedPackers 31–7called Bears by 3 · lost by 24
0Miss · naive 50
0this call50a naive guess−50worse than naive1.78difficulty−89skill
Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 23–20 calls a bigger Bears win (by 3) and fewer points (43).
How this was scored
score:
7-31
skill:
−89
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
6Score Predictions Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Eagles 17
What happenedJaguars 19–17called Jaguars by 6 · won by 2
90.48Hit · naive 96.54
90.48this call96.54a naive guess−6.06worse than naive1.78difficulty−10.79skill
Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 23–17 calls a closer game (Jaguars by 6) and fewer points (40).
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
−10.79
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
96.54
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.55
predicted margin:
6
Think this is wrong?
7Score Predictions Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys 34 — Buccaneers 17
What happenedBuccaneers 24–16called Cowboys by 17 · lost by 8
28.57Miss · naive 32.2
28.57this call32.2a naive guess−3.63worse than naive1.78difficulty−6.45skill
Closing line (Oct 8): Cowboys by 9.5, total 49.5 · this 34–17 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 17) and more points (51).
How this was scored
score:
24-16
skill:
−6.45
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
28.57
baseline:
32.2
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.52
predicted margin:
17
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once
42.5naive 53.4

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks.
Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta.
JP Acosta · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco.
Gregg Rosenthal · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta.
John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Anthony Richardson · Hit 100
Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; they also argue the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing them to Trey Lance.

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.
Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.
John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.