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Joe Marino#2 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 26, 2026

Marino's mock drafts had the Bills taking Utah offensive lineman Spencer Fano at pick 26 and adding kicker Trey Smack and punter Jack Stonehouse on day three; they also say second-year cornerback Maxwell Hairston will be a starter for Buffalo in 2026.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 close call · 3 waiting
47.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 4Settled3 still waiting
#2Joe Marino’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Joe Marino said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Chris Maxwell Hairston is gonna be a starter this year.
Joe Marino, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Locked On Bills (podcast)
The episode
BILLS SQUAD SHOW: "Run to the podium" picks! Joe FALLS IN LOVE with KC? Statue reveals!
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMar 26
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1Spencer Fano to be picked at number 26“We got to pick 26, and I thought the logical thing to do was actually to pick an offensive lineman... It was actually Spencer Fano... And so I went with Spencer Fano”
  2. 2Trey Smack to be picked “day three”“I had, Trey Smack... And Jack Stonehouse. I had I I had them draft them both on day three”
  3. 3Jack Stonehouse to be picked “day three”“I had, Trey Smack... And Jack Stonehouse. I had I I had them draft them both on day three to, get long term young players at those spots.”
  4. 4Maxwell Hairston to be 1st on the depth chart“They have Christian Benford locked up. Chris Maxwell Hairston is gonna be a starter this year.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 261Mock Draft PicksWent 947.8850—
Trey Smack to be picked “day three”2Mock Draft Picks————
Jack Stonehouse to be picked “day three”3Mock Draft Picks————
Maxwell Hairston to be 1st on the depth chart4Depth Chart Calls————
4 calls · 1 close call · 3 waiting47.950

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 47.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
26They said
9What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksSpencer FanoBuffalo Bills

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 26

    What happenedWent 9mocked at 26
    47.88Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    47.88
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    47.88
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksTrey SmackBuffalo Bills

    Trey Smack to be picked “day three”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksJack StonehouseBuffalo Bills

    Jack Stonehouse to be picked “day three”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Depth Chart CallsMaxwell HairstonBuffalo Bills

    Maxwell Hairston to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

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