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Greg CosellJan 15, 2026

Cosell said the Rams' cornerbacks are their weakness and that it would not surprise them if Caleb Williams threw for 340 yards against them, assuming weather doesn't limit the passing game.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
3,942What happenedcalled 340
31.73A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
−31.73Skillafter difficulty

What Greg Cosell said

If it doesn't affect the ability to throw the ball and Caleb Williams goes off for three hundred and forty passing yards against those corners, that would not surprise me at all.
Our reading: Caleb Williams to record 340 passing yards
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 3 - NFL playoff predictions, Tomorrow's headlines today, Greg Cosell
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 15
  2. GradedAug 7

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 31.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

passing yards
340They said
3,942What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Player Season NumbersCaleb WilliamsChicago Bears

    Caleb Williams to record 340 passing yards

    What happened3,942called 340
    0Miss · naive 31.73
    0this call31.73a naive guess−31.73worse than naive1difficulty−31.73skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    2596.37
    skill:
    −31.73
    what happened:
    3942
    player:
    Caleb Williams
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    31.73
    they said:
    340
    statistic:
    passing_yards
    difficulty:
    1
    last season:
    3541
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    position average:
    1651.74
    zero at percent out:
    50
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Others on the same people

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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.