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Rich Eisen· Dec 2, 2024

Eisen says Russell Wilson will lead the Steelers to the AFC North title and that Mike Tomlin deserves Coach of the Year if Pittsburgh keeps this up; he also argues Atlanta will stick with Kirk Cousins rather than turning to rookie Michael Penix, and agrees the Packers reaching the divisional round is no overreaction.

“this is a guy who's gonna lead the Steelers to the AFC North title”

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 1 coach award pick, 1 depth chart call, 1 division winner and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 72.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Division WinnersPittsburgh SteelersDec 2, 2024

    Pittsburgh Steelers to win the division

    “this is a guy who's gonna lead the Steelers to the AFC North title, and who knows how deep”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-133 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    -133
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1.33
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    6
    won the division:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Coach Award PicksDec 2, 2024

    Tomlin to win Coach of the Year

    “If the Steelers do what they're doing... you gotta you gotta get be coach of the year.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    coach_of_the_year
    coach:
    Mike Tomlin
    naive:
    the naive pick was Kevin Stefanski, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2024
    winner:
    Kevin O'Connell
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.33
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

  • Playoff PicksGreen Bay PackersDec 2, 2024

    Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs

    “The Packers are gonna make it to the divisional round again. I don't think that's an, an overreaction at all.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    GB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.33
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

  • Depth Chart CallsKirk CousinsAtlanta FalconsDec 2, 2024

    Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart

    “But if you're Raheem Morris, you're not gonna uncork that right now. You're just not gonna do it. ... You breathe in, you exhale, and you keep using Kirk Cousins.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+11.08 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    ATL
    skill:
    11.08
    player:
    Kirk Cousins
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1.33
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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