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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 10, 2025

Eisen listed the top five (plus one) teams/units that were better than expected in Week 1, and predicted Breece Hall will end the Jets' 1,000-yard rusher drought this season. They also noted they had picked the Jaguars to win their division.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Division WinnersThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

That drought's ending this year.
Our reading: Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
The episode
Hour 1: Kurt Warner Breaks Down NFL Week 1 QBs + Rich’s Top 5 Surprising Teams
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 10, 2025
  2. GradedAug 17, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Division WinnersJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.94difficulty+194skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    194
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.94
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.