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Rich Eisen· Sep 10, 2025

Eisen listed the top five (plus one) teams/units that were better than expected in Week 1, and predicted Breece Hall will end the Jets' 1,000-yard rusher drought this season. He also noted he had picked the Jaguars to win their division.

“That drought's ending this year.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division

    “Except for me. I picked them to win the division.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    194
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.94
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    won the division:
    yes

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What others said about the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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