Joe Pisapia#73 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 14, 2025
Pisapia expects Drake Maye to score more rushing touchdowns than projected (four or five) and thinks Tyreek Hill will resemble their disappointing 2024 season rather than their 2023 form, making them a bad buy at their WR15 price.
Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Joe Pisapia said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think we're looking more like the guy we got in Tyreek in twenty twenty four than the guy we got in twenty twenty three.
- Where it was said
- FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- FantasyPros - 6 Fantasy Football Projections That SCARE Us For 2025 (Ep. 1587)
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJun 13, 2025
- GradedAug 5–19, 2026
- 1Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver fifteen right now in the ADP)“that offensive line did not improve enough, nearly enough, and we find ourselves in that same scenario as we did in twenty twenty four. I think we're looking more like the guy we got in Tyreek in twenty twenty four than the guy we got in twenty twenty three.”
- 2Drake Maye to record 4–5 rushing tds“Yeah, that seems light to me too. I think it's more like four or five easily”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver fifteen right now in the ADP)1 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| Drake Maye to record 4–5 rushing tds2 | Player Season Numbers | 4 | 100 | 24.31 | +151.39 | |
| 2 calls · 2 hits · all settled | 100 | 12.2 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive2 checkable claims — 1 fantasy bust call and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 12.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Fantasy Bust CallsTyreek HillMiami Dolphins
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver fifteen right now in the ADP)
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- wide receiver fifteen right now in the ADP
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Tyreek Hill
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR23
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR107
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
2Player Season NumbersDrake MayeNew England Patriots
Drake Maye to record 4–5 rushing tds
What happened4called 4100Hit · naive 24.31100this call−24.31a naive guess=75.69better than naive×2difficulty=+151.39skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- 2.49
- skill:
- 151.39
- what happened:
- 4
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 24.31
- they said:
- 4
- statistic:
- rushing_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 2.97
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 12.2
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Pat Fitzmaurice · Score Predictions · New England Patriots · Miss 14
Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said they would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11.Kevin Wildes · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched their Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears.Nick Wright · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. They also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated their Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.Eric Mangini · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as their upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated their Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals.Connor Rogers · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.Chris Simms · Score Predictions · New England Patriots · Miss 31
Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said they wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.
More fantasy bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Fantasy Bust Calls · Zay Flowers · Miss 0
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Fantasy Bust Calls · Austin Ekeler · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Pat Fitzmaurice · Fantasy Bust Calls · Breece Hall · Miss 0
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.Simon Hunter · Fantasy Bust Calls · Tetairoa McMillan · Hit 100
Simon is drafting Ashton Jeanty in the late first/early second and is comfortable taking them in the first round, is all-in on DeVonta Adams with the Rams, and calls Puka Nacua one of the most overdrafted players who should not be taken in the first round.