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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 19, 2026

Cowherd repeats their claim that Caleb Williams will be viewed as a top four or five quarterback by the end of the season, restates their preseason pick of the Ravens to win their division, and expects a angry Houston defense to beat Cincinnati on Sunday.

Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 2 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I said, by the end of the year, Caleb will be a top four or five quarterback.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Prime Cuts - Eli Manning Interview, Caleb Williams Top 5 QB? Chargers Look Terrible, Derrick Henry Still Elite
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 19
  2. PlayedSep 20
  3. GradedSep 21
  1. 1Houston Texans to beat Cincinnati“All right, Bengals at the Texans on Sunday. I would not want to be Cincinnati, though I like them... The Texans' defense for the first time in, I don't remember, was kind of embarrassed. They'll be in a terrible, terrible mood. I think they'll take it out on Cincinnati.”
  2. 2Caleb Williams to finish 1–4 at his position, by an unstated measure“But I said this on FS1 not long ago. I said, by the end of the year, Caleb will be a top four or five quarterback. That's how we will view him.”
  3. 3Baltimore Ravens to win the division“I said all off season, the Ravens, I picked them to win their division.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Houston Texans to beat Cincinnati1Game Outcome PicksBengals 20–6000
Caleb Williams to finish 1–4 at his position, by an unstated measure2Positional Finishes————
Baltimore Ravens to win the division3Division Winners————
3 calls · 1 miss · 2 waiting00

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 division winner, 1 game outcome pick and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to beat Cincinnati

    What happenedBengals 20–6Bengals at Texans
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3 · favorite pick, Texans 57%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    20-6
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Positional FinishesCaleb WilliamsChicago Bears

    Caleb Williams to finish 1–4 at his position, by an unstated measure

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Division WinnersBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.