Mike Kadlick#16 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 24, 2026
Kadlick expects an ugly, low-scoring Thursday night game at Lambeau Field, with Green Bay beating Atlanta 10–7 to move to 2–1 while the Falcons drop to 0–3 in Michael Penix Jr.'s return.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Mike Kadlick said
I’m predicting this one ends with Green Bay winning a low-scoring affair, 10–7, to improve to 2–1 on the season.
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Falcons vs. Packers: Three Bold Predictions for Michael Penix Jr.’s Return to Action
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 24
- PlayedSep 24
- GradedSep 25
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 7.1 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsGreen Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers 10 — Falcons 7
What happenedFalcons 35–14called Packers by 3 · lost by 217.14Miss · naive 07.14this call−0a naive guess=7.14better than naive×1.89difficulty=+13.5skillClosing line (Sep 24): Packers by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 10–7 calls a closer game (Packers by 3) and fewer points (17).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 35-14
- skill:
- 13.5
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 7.14
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- −0.45
- predicted margin:
- 3
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.