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Greg AumanAug 31, 2026

In defining success for all 32 teams in 2026, Auman predicts the Cardinals end up picking in the top five and taking a quarterback, suggests Jeremiah Smith may be the first non-quarterback drafted, restates their spring Super Bowl pick of the Chargers, and forecasts Josh Allen returning to 30-plus passing touchdowns.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

Waiting4 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 4Settled4 still waiting
4Waitingnot graded yet

What Greg Auman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But realistically, the Cardinals are picking in the top five and taking a quarterback.
Greg Auman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Fox Sports
The piece
Which Teams Need To Win The Super Bowl? Defining Success For All 32 Teams In 2026
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Josh Allen to record 30 passing tds“His passing touchdowns in the last six years are 37-36-35-29-28-25, but we'll say that downward trend ends and he's back at 30-plus touchdown passes.”
  2. 2Arizona Cardinals to pick “picking in the top five” (picks 1–5)“But realistically, the Cardinals are picking in the top five and taking a quarterback.”
  3. 3Los Angeles Chargers to win the Super Bowl“I picked the Chargers to win the Super Bowl this spring, so they need to win a playoff game or two just to make that pick not look embarrassing.”
  4. 4Jeremiah Smith to be the first non-QB off the board non-QB off the board“There's a void at receiver, so if you can land Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith as a No. 1 target for Willis, that's great. But he might be the first non-QB off the board, so even six wins could take him off the board.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Josh Allen to record 30 passing tds1Player Season Numbers————
Arizona Cardinals to pick “picking in the top five” (picks 1–5)2Team Draft Slot Calls————
Los Angeles Chargers to win the Super Bowl3Super Bowl Picks————
Jeremiah Smith to be the first non-QB off the board non-QB off the board4Position Order Calls————
4 calls · 4 waiting——

How each call scored

4 checkable claims — 1 player season number, 1 position order call, 1 super bowl pick and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against the record

passing tds
30They said
252025 actual

Their call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.

  1. 1Player Season NumbersJosh AllenBuffalo Bills

    Josh Allen to record 30 passing tds

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Team Draft Slot CallsArizona Cardinals

    Arizona Cardinals to pick “picking in the top five” (picks 1–5)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles Chargers

    Los Angeles Chargers to win the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Position Order CallsJeremiah Smith

    Jeremiah Smith to be the first non-QB off the board non-QB off the board

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.