Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 11, 2026
Wright predicted Caleb Williams will end up as the best quarterback from the 2024 NFL Draft class, giving them a 45% likelihood, ahead of Drake Maye (40%), Jayden Daniels (13%) and Bo Nix (2%). They also said Williams is the more dangerous runner than Maye and voiced concern about Daniels' long-term durability.
Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original
What Nick Wright said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think Caleb has maybe the strongest arm in the league.
- Where it was published
- Fox Sports
- The piece
- Caleb Williams Will Be The Best QB From The 2024 NFL Draft Class, Says Nick Wright
- The original
- Read the original
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- 1Top Player Lists“Wright assigned Williams 45% of the likelihood to emerge as the top quarterback in the class... While Maye claimed 40% percent of Wright's projections, Daniels received 13% and Broncos quarterback Bo Nix had a 2% chance to be the best quarterback in the class”
- 2Caleb Williams to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards“Wright said Caleb Williams will end up being the premier quarterback of his draft class”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| “Wright assigned Williams 45% of the likelihood to emerge as the…”1 | Top Player Lists | — | — | — | — | |
| Caleb Williams to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards2 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| 2 calls · 2 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
2 checkable claims — 1 positional finish and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
“Wright assigned Williams 45% of the likelihood to emerge as the top quarterback in the class... While Maye claimed 40% percent of Wright's projections, Daniels received 13% and Broncos quarterback Bo Nix had a 2% chance to be the best quarterback in the class”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Positional FinishesCaleb WilliamsChicago Bears
Caleb Williams to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.Bryan DeArdo · Score Predictions · Chicago Bears · Hit 98
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Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said they wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Rich Hribar · Positional Finishes · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Hribar published their 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how they prioritize drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.Chris Brockman · Positional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Hit 100
Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called their shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.Ryan Tracy · Positional Finishes · Bryan Cook · Miss 0
Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; they name Brian Robinson as their target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.Pat Gustavson · Positional Finishes · Bijan Robinson · Close 75
Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out their own coaching landing spots.Rich Eisen · Positional Finishes · George Pickens · Hit 100
Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said they don't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.