Eric EdholmApr 22, 2025
Edholm's mock draft 3.0, as described on the show, has four first-round quarterbacks: Cam Ward first to Tennessee, Shedeur Sanders ninth to New Orleans, Jackson Dart 21st to Pittsburgh and Jalen Milroe 24th to the Giants via trade with Minnesota.
Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original
What Eric Edholm said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromYou've got number one off the board, cam Ward going to the Tennessee Titans
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- Move the Sticks (podcast)
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- GMFB Tuesday Hour 1: QB Intrigue in NFL Draft, Top 150 Prospects, Angry Runs WATCH LIST
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidApr 22, 2025
- GradedAug 7, 2026
- 1Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 21“Jackson Dart heading to Pittsburgh... the one that I do love and I'm the biggest fan of on this list is Jackson Dart at twenty one.”
- 2Cam Ward to be picked at number 1“You've got number one off the board, cam Ward going to the Tennessee Titans, this again according to Eric at HOLMNFL dot com.”
- 3Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 9“Chadur going to the Saints... Shador Sanders going to the New Orleans Saints at number nine.”
- 4Jalen Milroe to be picked at number 24“the Giants taking Jalen Molrow at twenty four via trade with the Minnesota Vikings”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 211 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 25 | 84.09 | 50 | +20 | |
| Cam Ward to be picked at number 12 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | +20 | |
| Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 93 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 144 | 0.29 | 50 | +20 | |
| Jalen Milroe to be picked at number 244 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 92 | 5.26 | 50 | +20 | |
| 4 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · all settled | 47.4 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 47.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
1Mock Draft PicksJaxson DartPittsburgh Steelers
Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 21
What happenedWent 25mocked at 2184.09Hit · naive 5070this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=20better than naive×1difficulty=+20skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 20
- player:
- Jaxson Dart
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 70
2Mock Draft PicksCam WardTennessee Titans
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 5070this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=20better than naive×1difficulty=+20skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 20
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 70
3Mock Draft PicksShedeur SandersNew Orleans Saints
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 9
What happenedWent 144mocked at 90.29Miss · naive 5070this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=20better than naive×1difficulty=+20skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 20
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.29
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 144
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.29
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 70
4Mock Draft PicksJalen MilroeNew York Giants
Jalen Milroe to be picked at number 24
What happenedWent 92mocked at 245.26Miss · naive 5070this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=20better than naive×1difficulty=+20skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 20
- player:
- Jalen Milroe
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 5.26
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 92
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 5.26
- predicted pick:
- 24
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 70
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
47.4naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.