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97.45% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Around the NFL (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 4 of 8 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 9 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 64.5 accuracy (4 settled)
176–200 of 1,043
661 / 1,043
graded
382 still pending
Outside the room in 4 of 7 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 6 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 15 articles (1 higher, 2 lower) · when its writers strayed: 54.5 accuracy (3 settled)
Indianapolis Colts to finish with 8–9 wins
I'm going Colts over seven and a half... Ultimately, I think their mean season is eight or nine wins.
Patrick Mahomes to win MVP
You're, you're, you're making me, you know, you're, you're helping maybe push me to go in. I think I just, people love a narrative. My home's MVP this year.
Cleveland Browns to finish with 3–4 wins
so i feel like this is a three or four win team
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
That feels like the right number, and 10 feels about right.
Tennessee Titans to finish with 5–6 wins
And they, I think five and 12, six and 11 would be fine.
That's not wrecking my board. It's on my board... I would have taken it today... But I'm on the same side of you there.
I'm going Texans over nine and a half as my team.
Akheem Mesidor to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
I do think Akeem Mesidor is like a sneaky defensive rookie of the year.
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9–10 wins
So I think they'll find their way to get to nine or 10 wins.
I'm going the other side over, by the way, I don't care about you thinking they're off the board.
and I went over on the Broncos. I'm with you... I think they could be an 11-win wildcard team or a 10-win wildcard team
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
I think they could be an 11-win wildcard team or a 10-win wildcard team, and you win, you're over.
Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins
But ultimately, I think 12 is about where I see this team... And I feel good about over 10 and a half.
Dallas Cowboys to beat expectations
I think they're gonna be one of the teams that, despite being the Dallas Cowboys, are going to improve pretty significantly on their finish last year... But I think they're going to surprise some people.
Brock Bowers to be 1st on the depth chart
I know Brock Bauers is going to be their number one target again
The Rams are number one, the Broncos are number two, the Seahawks are number three... the Eagles at four, the Bills at five, and the Ravens at six... The Jags there at seven, the Bengals at eight, and then the Texans at nine. The Bears are round out the top ten... the Bears Cowboys there at ten and eleven... Patriots at twelve... fourteen through sixteen Lions, Chiefs, Niners... the Chargers, Vikings, Colts, and Steelers seventeen eighteen, nineteen twenty... You put Saints twenty one, Bucks twenty two Panthers twenty three... the Titans twenty four and then the Falcons twenty five... Cardinals are at twenty six, Giants are at twenty seven, Browns at twenty eight, Commanders at twenty nine... Last two teams are the Raiders and the Dolphins... a team that's thirty first ranked here and the Jets are thirtieth
Aaron Donald to make the roster
But I fully anticipate that he's gonna be on the roster.
So I think what's going to happen is right now it goes Herbert love May, and by November it's May Herbert Love
Mike Evans to be 1st on the depth chart
Obviously, Pearsall and Mike Evans are going to be starters if they're healthy.
Jacob Rodriguez to be 1st on the depth chart
I would assume Rodriguez is the favorite there to start, but that's something I'll be tracking.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
this is going to make my top thirty five because again a team I think is going to make the playoffs
Myles Murphy to be 1st on the depth chart
I assume Miles Murphy will start opposite boy Mafe
Jahdae Barron to be 1st on the depth chart
there has to be a world where he's just a better player than Riley Moss and they just want to get him on the field ... But that Baron just takes that job no matter what they're saying publicly
Eric Stokes to be 1st on the depth chart
it's wide open there at the cornerback two spot for the Raiders where Eric Stokes is number one
Darien Porter to be 2nd on the depth chart
wide open there at the cornerback two spot for the Raiders ... I guess Darien Porter would be the favorite.