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Rich Eisen· Apr 7, 2025

Eisen maintains Cam Ward is going No. 1 overall, says Ashton Jeanty will be off the board before the Jets pick at No. 7, and expects Jackson Dart to sneak into the first round while doubting a fifth quarterback goes there.

“We're always open for business, but it's gonna be Cam Ward.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where this call stands in the room

Cam Ward · 2025 season · overall pick

24 calls from 19 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Rich Eisen said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick

Rich Eisen — 1 overall pickthe room — 24 calls from 19 punditsmedian 1 overall pickwhat happened — 1 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
first round (picks 1–32)They said
25What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    “So Dart sneaks in, and then that's pretty much it.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jaxson Dart
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    “And then it's Cam Ward, and the Titan sent everybody to his pro day... We're always open for business, but it's gonna be Cam Ward.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Ashton Jeanty to be picked “he's not getting to seven”

    “Jets might trade away Brace Hall and and draft Ashton Genti if he's available Wow. At seven. That I he's not getting to seven.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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