Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 7, 2025

Eisen maintains Cam Ward is going No. 1 overall, says Ashton Jeanty will be off the board before the Jets pick at No. 7, and expects Jackson Dart to sneak into the first round while doubting a fifth quarterback goes there.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 1 waiting

100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 3Settled1 still waiting

#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

We're always open for business, but it's gonna be Cam Ward.

Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode: NFL Draft: Hunter and Shedeur Will Go 2 & 3 in the Draft
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidApr 7, 2025
GradedAug 13, 2026

1Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)“So Dart sneaks in, and then that's pretty much it.”
2Cam Ward to be picked at number 1“And then it's Cam Ward, and the Titan sent everybody to his pro day... We're always open for business, but it's gonna be Cam Ward.”
3Ashton Jeanty to be picked “he's not getting to seven”“Jets might trade away Brace Hall and and draft Ashton Genti if he's available Wow. At seven. That I he's not getting to seven.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)¹	Mock Draft Picks	Went 25	100	50	—
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1²	Mock Draft Picks	Went 1	100	50	—
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “he's not getting to seven”³	Mock Draft Picks	—	—	—	—
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 waiting			100	50

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Cam Ward · 2025 season · overall pick

Rich Eisen — 1 overall pickthe room — 24 calls from 19 punditsmedian 1 overall pickwhat happened — 1 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick

first round (picks 1–32)They said

25What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Mock Draft Picks Jaxson Dart
Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
What happenedWent 25
100Hit · naive 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
2Mock Draft Picks Cam Ward Tennessee Titans
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
100Hit · naive 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
3Mock Draft Picks Ashton Jeanty
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “he's not getting to seven”
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 50

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Shaun Calderon · Trade and Signing Calls · Jeffery Simmons · Miss 0
Calderon argues the 0-5 Titans won't turn their season around, that Cam Ward won't be benched soon, and that Jeffery Simmons stays in Tennessee while Tony Pollard and Calvin Ridley are likely trade candidates with modest returns.
Lane Mills · Game Outcome Picks · Tennessee Titans · Miss 0
Mills predicts the Titans finish 2026 at 6-11 (2-4 in the AFC South), missing the playoffs, with specific wins over the Jets, Giants, Browns, Jaguars, Raiders and Colts, and names Wan'Dale Robinson team MVP with another 1,000-yard, seven-touchdown season as Cam Ward's top receiver.
Nathan Jahnke · Roster Spot Calls · K.J. Osborn · Hit 100
An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
Gennaro Filice · Score Predictions · Tennessee Titans · Hit 88
The lone NFL.com pick for Tennessee, projecting a low-scoring 14-13 Titans upset built on their defensive front containing Jonathan Taylor.
Dan Graziano · Game Outcome Picks · Tennessee Titans · Hit 100
The lone ESPN pick for Tennessee, taking the Titans to beat the Colts.
Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Tennessee Titans · Hit 100
Sullivan says it would not surprise them if the Titans beat the Colts for their first win of the season, arguing the line is too big in the divisional matchup.

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.
Todd McShay · Mock Draft Picks · Keelon Russell · Miss 0
While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft.
Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.
Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.
Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.
Walt · Mock Draft Picks · Fernando Mendoza · Hit 100
In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft.