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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.37% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 69 articles (3 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
3201–3225 of 3,618
1,941 / 3,618
graded
1,677 still pending
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 11 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 14 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 47.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
I think everyone's with you on the Bills and Ravens. That's a no brainer.
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
To me, I think Daniel Jones in Indianapolis Colts have the best chance to be that guy... it'll be a competition
Caleb Williams to be 1st on the depth chart
They're building this whole thing around Caleb Williams. They're saying, Caleb, it is your job.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
I think the Patriots make a huge jump. They were terrible last year. They're going to be potentially a playoff team this year
Brian Flora to win Coach of the Year
I think Brian Flora is gonna be probably coach of the year on the like a defensive coordinator coach of the year type guy.
Denver Broncos to win the division
the AFC West is an incredible division, but I think people are sleeping on Sean Payton and bow Nicks and what they could be in that division
Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs
Falcons missed the playoffs... Three new teams just a the division winners.
Minnesota Vikings to win the division
I like Kevin O'Connell JJ McCarthy to win the a NFC North
Trey Benson to outplay his draft cost (at a discount)
And now he's coming at a discount on top of it... You should be in on him this year
Romeo Doubs to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
another one that went in the arrange... Is Romeo Dobbs. Like, I'm sorry, Romeo Dobbs, but like eight point five, eight point two of the last two years
Justice Hill to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
they were drafted in these last three rounds. Justice Hill Overshad Bateman. Where is the upside?... he is going to be part of some time share
Rashod Bateman to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
Rashad Bateman? What is Rashad Bateman? Ever? Like you hope you get a touchdown
Trey Benson to be 2nd on the depth chart
just ignore the fact that he's still the clear number two behind James Connor, who has an injury history
Justice Hill to outplay his draft cost (running back sixty two)
Justice Hill is running back sixty two. I'm actually reasonably confident that if those guys stay healthy, they are going to outperform those values
Rashod Bateman to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver fifty six)
Rashaw Baatemen is wide receiver fifty six... I'm actually reasonably confident that if those guys stay healthy, they are going to outperform those values
Darnell Mooney to outplay his draft cost (going as like a wide receiver five)
it seems like a foregone conclusion that Darnell Mooney is going to have like that sneaky wide receiver three upside here and he's going as like a wide receiver five
Darnell Mooney to outplay his draft cost (their current prices)
there is room for London, Pits and Mooney to all return a profit, I think at their current prices... So yes, I love this call.
Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (his mid fourth round cost)
So what is it that has to go right for Kenneth Walker to return? A nice profit on his mid fourth round cost.
Darren Waller to finish top 40 at his position, by fantasy points
When I plugged him into the rankings this morning, I think it was a tight end forty.
Kenneth Walker III to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
Obviously, stay healthy, give us sixteen or seventeen games. If he does that, I think he's gonna finish as a top twelve running back.
Stefon Diggs to outplay his draft cost (the ninth round of drafts)
If we get ninety percent of that sort of production, and we can get it in the ninth round of drafts, like sign me up
Ray-Ray McCloud to be 3rd on the depth chart
And like, who of the Falcons added at wide receiver in the off season, it's gonna be like Ray Ray McCloud is the number three
Drake Maye to record 800 rushing yards
I think Drake May could get to eight hundred rushing yards based on how aggressively he ran in college.
Javonte Williams to be 1st on the depth chart
and it seems like he's going to get the first crack at being the league guy for Dallas this year
Drake Maye to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
so I think Drake May is going to give us a QB one fantasy finish this year