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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,386
graded
1,467 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3376–3400 of 4,386
Kaytron Allen to be picked at number 137
The other selection at round in round four, just a few picks later at one thirty seven... We're gonna go with Penn State running back, Caitron Allen
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
I Mendos are very clear it's going to one overall idea... So how attractive is the Raiders job if you know you're getting Mendoza?
Trinidad Chambliss to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)
I would draft him in the fifth round if he was available
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
What do you think about Caleb Downs? The Ohio State stud have him ten to the Bengals.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
drop mock draft one point, Oh, yesterday got my guy Mendoza up top.
Matt Moore to be picked “to my Jets”
Obviously Dante Moore to my Jets
David Bailey to be picked at number 7
David Bailey, who on this one is at number seven
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 11
he's got him going number 11 to the Miami Dolphins
Jermott McCoy to be picked at number 20
You also have the twentieth pick... And they go Jermott McCoy, which is a cowboy special. Hurt. Tennessee corner.
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3
Where did Fran have Reese go?... Number three overall?
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12
The cowboys drafting an off ball linebacker named Sonny Styles at number 12 overall
Makai Lemon to be picked “a first rounder” (picks 1–32)
I bet he'll be a first rounder.
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12
yeah, I think that's who I would pick there if I were the Dallas Cowboys
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
Caleb Downs, who goes number 10
Ty Simpson to be picked “late first, early second”
I may have to go late first, early second, but the downside is you come back like you said, and you don't get the reins.
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 13
the Rams, they have the number thirteenth pick in the draft ... in Yahoo Sports' latest draft, he has the Rams taking Sonny Styles, a linebacker out of Ohio State
Caleb Downs to be picked “a little higher than No. 13”
Caleb Downs is gonna go definitely a little higher than that.
Matt Moore to be picked at number 2
and then Dante Moore of Oregon to the Jets. I don't see that changing as long as those guys declare.
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12
Sonny Styles, the line back from Ohio State going to Dallas at 12.
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11
I'd get to 11 through 15 here. I have the Miami Dolphins going Kenyan, Saddiq, the Oregon tight end.
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 16
16 Jets, McKay Lemann, USC wide receiver. I love this fit for forever.
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
And then last number 10 here. Caleb Downs, Ohio State safety is the Cincinnati Bengals.
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9
Reuben Bain, the Miami defensive end going to the Kansas City Chiefs.
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7
I have the commanders going carnal tape, the Ohio State wide receiver at number seven.
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 13
Jordan Tyson, the Arizona statewide receiver going to the Rams at 13.
