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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,386
graded
1,467 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3401–3425 of 4,386
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 17
17, I have Mansoor Delaine, the LSU quarterback going to the Lions.
Jermaine McCrory to be picked at number 18
And I have Jermaine McCrory, the Tennessee corner going to Minnesota.
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4
Arbel Reese, the Ohio State linebacker slash edge going fourth to the titans
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
Top five picks. I have it going. Fernando Mendoza from Indiana to the Raiders
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 5
and then Keltrick Falk, the Auburn edge slash d t, and I have him going there to be a DT more so to the New York Giants.
Trevor Goosby to be picked at number 6
It's get six through 10 where the Browns... Trevor Goosby, offense tackle Texas to me.
David Bailey to be picked at number 3
At number three... I have David Bailey, the Texas Tech edge going to the Cardinals.
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
Jeremiah Love going to the saints. No real explanation necessary there. It's Kellen Moore as your head coach.
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 15
And then Spencer Fanon, the Utah offensive tackle going to the Bucks at 15
Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 14
Francis Maui, Noah, Miami, offensive tackle going to the Ravens at 14.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
now they're going to draft Fernando Mendoza number one overall... I think he's no brainer number one based on this CLASS
Cade McDonald to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
Caden McDonald is going to be a first round pick as well.
Arvell Reese to be picked “top three” (picks 1–3)
Uh through that is a top three FI right there. Easy
Sonny Styles to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
You've got rvel Reese off the ball, on the ball, linebacker Sonny Styles, who's going to be a first round pick.
Caleb Downs to be picked “first rounder” (picks 1–32)
you got downs at safety? Who's the first rounder? All day long?
Carnell Tate to be picked “first round draft pick” (picks 1–32)
And Carnell is one of those guys. I think he's a first round draft pick
Arvell Reese to be picked “top three pick” (picks 1–3)
I think rvel Reese is playing himself into a top three pick in college in the NFL draft
Fernando Mendoza to be picked “top three pick, maybe the top pick” (picks 1–3)
Mendoza is going to be easily a top three pick, maybe the top pick in the entire NFL draft.
Caleb Downs to be picked “top ten pick” (picks 1–10)
Downs is still behind him, who's probably a top a, top top tick, top ten excuse me pick in the NFL draft
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
I think Mendoza and Dante Moore are going to go one and two. That's my guess.
Matt Moore to be picked at number 2
I think Mendoza and Dante Moore are going to go one and two. That's my guess.
Dante Moore to be picked “number one on their mocks coming out here soon”
I actually think this s guy's the limit. I won't be surprised if everybody has them number one on their marks coming out here soon.
John Mateer to be picked “top fifteen to twenty pick” (picks 1–15)
He will be in the Heisman mix, and he will be discussed as a top fifteen to twenty pick.
John Mateer to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
And John Mattier is going to be a first round pick.
Arch Manning to be picked at number 1
they have the number one pick. Arch wins the Heisman, the Natty, and and they take him first overall
