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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3626–3650 of 4,387
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
We presume the cam Or goes number one to Tennessee.
Colston Loveland to be picked “potential top ten to fifteen draft pick” (picks 1–10)
But he's going to be a potential top ten to fifteen draft pick ats tight end with very little pub
Josh Simmons to be picked at number 25
I have them taken Josh Simmons from Ohio State... from an athletic perspective, he's a higher pick than 25.
Mykel Williams to be picked at number 29
Let's start with Washington... They take Mikael Williams, six five, two sixty five, long arms
Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 24
So I've got the New York Giants trading up from 34 to 24 and taking jack Jackson Dart.
Maxwell Hairston to be picked at number 30
The Bills thirtieth overall do what?... We're gonna get the fourth corner, Maxwell Hairston from, Kentucky.
Donovan Jackson to be picked at number 26
And now the Rams do what? Twenty sixth overall... So I went with Donovan Jackson, another Buckeye.
Malaki Starks to be picked at number 27
The Ravens, with six more picks to go, twenty seventh overall... So they stick and pick a safety. Malachi Starks.
Derrick Harmon to be picked at number 23
So they they get Derek Harmon from Oregon, who's an immediate plug and play starter, a defensive tackle... I think he starts day one for for Green Bay.
Walter Nolen to be picked at number 32
And Howie Roseman's now on the clock thirty second overall... So I'm giving him Walter Nolan, who is most one of the most gifted players in this draft.
Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at number 20
Tete McMillan, twentieth.
Donovan Ezeiruaku to be picked at number 28
Twenty eighth overall Lions... So I gave him Dominic Esaraku from Boston College.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 21
I do like Shador Sanders to Pittsburgh... And I'm hoping at 21, there'll be a little less pressure.
Emeka Egbuka to be picked at number 22
And I finally went, you know what? I'm I'm Mecca Abuka, the wide out from Ohio State to pair him with Ladd McConkie.
Shemar Stewart to be picked at number 31
what do the Chiefs do here?... I've got him taking Shamar Stewart, the defensive band from A and M
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
I think Ashton Gentry is going in the top five. / I think he could too... This is not an overreaction.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
I think Ashton Gentry is going in the top five.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
Cam Ward's gonna go first overall... The Titans, Rich, as you know, number one on the clock breaking news, they're gonna take Cameron Ward That's correct. Seemingly. Right? 99.9%. I think it's gonna happen.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “drafted by a team in the twenties”
I don't think that's an overreaction, and that would mean that he he he gets drafted by a team in the in in the twenties.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “late first round” (picks 1–32)
He gets drafted late first round. By a team that's good, I think.
Jalen Milroe to be picked “late twenties”
Miller going to the draft, I think, is an indication to me that he is going in that late twenties.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 10
He feels like a top-10 shoo-in on the doorstep of the draft.
Emeka Egbuka to be picked “somewhere between twenty and twenty five in round one”
I would not be shocked if ABUCA comes off maybe somewhere between twenty and twenty five in round one.
Tyleik Williams to be picked “late in round one”
there's a bunch of really good defensive linemen in this draft. You can see those names come off late in round one. Tyler Williams is one. Maybe he can sneak up on some people
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
I would say the feeling within the league is most likely Travis Hunter from Colorado ends up being the Browns pick at number two.
