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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
4126–4150 of 4,387
Matthew Golden to be picked at number 12
Matthew Golden number twelve overall... There's no Accngendy on the board for the Cowboys
Jihaad Campbell to be picked at number 9
Jihad Campbell all the way up to number nine. From twenty nine... Campbell to the Saints is really interesting to me
Mason Graham to be picked at number 8
Mason Graham to the Panthers, at eight... I think he went from what five to eight
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 2
Abdull Carter is there now at number two going to the Browns.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6
Accid Empty to the Raiders at six... Genti from twenty one up to six
Maxwell Hairston to be picked at number 23
Maxwell Harston is new. He's at twenty three to the Packers... that's why I had him going to the Packers
Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 21
Jackson's Dart going twenty one to the Steelers
Armand Membou to be picked at number 7
behind armand Membu, who's going number seven to the Jets
Will Campbell to be picked at number 10
Will Campbell the tackle from LSU go to the Bears. At ten
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 3
Sedar Sanders is up to number three with the Giants.
Azareye'h Thomas to be picked at number 29
and then the cornerback as Aarya Thomas from Florida State at twenty nine
Jalon Walker to be picked at number 5
Jalen Walker from of the linebacker going to the Jaguars at five
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “the second or third pick in this draft”
I still think he's very much in line to be the second or third pick in this draft.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
I still think Shador Sanders is going to be a first round pick
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “anywhere from eight to the Steelers at, like, 21”
I I'm seeing Gentry go anywhere from, I don't know, Chris, like, eight to to the Steelers at, like, 21.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
the Browns are going to trade up to one and take cam Ward
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
I think it's a really good chance that it goes cam Ward one Shador Sanders too
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 2
I think it's a really good chance that it goes cam Ward one Shador Sanders too
Landon Jackson to be picked “thirty to forty”
So he's going in the top fifty picks. It's just a matter of where he goes. To me, he feels like if I was going to guess thirty to forty
Logan Brown to be picked “third round type” (picks 65–102)
I have Jayalen, Travis, Logan Brown, Anthony Belton... always like third round type type guys.
Jalen Travis to be picked “third round type” (picks 65–102)
I have Jayalen, Travis, Logan Brown, Anthony Belton. Those guys are all together in my little clump right there. All is sixty one always like third round type type guys.
Anthony Belton to be picked “third round type” (picks 65–102)
I have Jayalen, Travis, Logan Brown, Anthony Belton... always like third round type type guys.
Trey Amos to be picked “top fifty picks”
I think he's going to go in the top fifty picks when it's all said and done.
Shemar Stewart to be picked “gone by the early twenties”
I would guess those guys, I mean, I think they're both gone by the early twenties. I think they'll come off the board.
James Pearce Jr. to be picked “gone by the early twenties”
I think they're both gone by the early twenties. I think they'll come off the board.
