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JP Acosta#40 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 3, 2026

Reviewing Senior Bowl risers, Acosta pegged Western Michigan edge Na'Dame Tucker as a late Day 2/early Day 3 pick and Missouri receiver Kevin Coleman Jr. as an early Day 3 pick, and said Ohio State defensive tackle Kayden McDonald will be a first-round selection.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 2 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 3Settled2 still waiting
#40JP Acosta’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What JP Acosta said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
McDonald's gonna go in the first round.
JP Acosta, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
2026 NFL Mock Draft: What We Would Do For EVERY 1st-Round Pick | Shrine & Senior Bowl Biggest Risers
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 3
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1Cade McDonald to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)“And especially after Amari Watson decided to return to school, I think he is gonna go in the first round. McDonald's gonna go in the first round.”
  2. 2Nadame Tucker to be picked “late day two, early day three”“But I think around, like, late day two, early day three, a guy like Nadame Tucker can come in and immediately be a pass rush help for a lot of teams.”
  3. 3Kevin Coleman to be picked “early day three”“I don't think he's gonna be a day two guy. I think maybe, like, early day three because, again, there's just the size is going to be a big issue.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Cade McDonald to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)1Mock Draft PicksWent undrafted050—
Nadame Tucker to be picked “late day two, early day three”2Mock Draft Picks————
Kevin Coleman to be picked “early day three”3Mock Draft Picks————
3 calls · 1 miss · 2 waiting050

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
first round (picks 1–32)They said
undraftedWhat happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksCade McDonald

    Cade McDonald to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent undrafted
    0Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Cade McDonald
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksNadame Tucker

    Nadame Tucker to be picked “late day two, early day three”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksKevin Coleman

    Kevin Coleman to be picked “early day three”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

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