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JP Acosta· Feb 3, 2026

Reviewing Senior Bowl risers, Acosta pegged Western Michigan edge Na'Dame Tucker as a late Day 2/early Day 3 pick and Missouri receiver Kevin Coleman Jr. as an early Day 3 pick, and said Ohio State defensive tackle Kayden McDonald will be a first-round selection.

“McDonald's gonna go in the first round.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
first round (picks 1–32)They said
undraftedWhat happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Cade McDonald to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    “And especially after Amari Watson decided to return to school, I think he is gonna go in the first round. McDonald's gonna go in the first round.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Cade McDonald
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Nadame Tucker to be picked “late day two, early day three”

    “But I think around, like, late day two, early day three, a guy like Nadame Tucker can come in and immediately be a pass rush help for a lot of teams.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kevin Coleman to be picked “early day three”

    “I don't think he's gonna be a day two guy. I think maybe, like, early day three because, again, there's just the size is going to be a big issue.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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