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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
4176–4200 of 4,387
Jayden Higgins to be picked “in the second, round”
because a discount tech tech McMillan's going to Be Jadan higgin in the second, round
Jalen Milroe to be picked “second round type of selection” (picks 33–64)
that does still feel like a second round type of selection in similarity to how the Eagles went about getting Jalen Hurts... I think it should be the mill Roe situation.
Mason Taylor to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
it wouldn't shock me if maybe a sneaky third tight end got into the first round. Yeah, with Mason Taylor
Jacob Parrish to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
He is a guy who is going to move up. He'll be a second round cornerback in this draft.
Nick Emmanwori to be picked “inside the top sixteen”
he can't get past the middle of the draft, Like it's just he's not getting to the second held... But now this is one of these things where he's inside the top sixteen to me.
Jaxson Dart to be picked “potential first round pick” (picks 1–32)
I would throw Jackson Darton here, who I think is gonna gain some momentum as a potential first round pick
Cam Ward to be picked “a top five, top ten pick” (picks 1–5)
cam Ward great prospect. We'll be an NFL starter next year and will be a top five, top ten pick, no doubt.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “a first round pick” (picks 1–32)
Ashton gent is one of the top running backs in this draft and will obviously be a first round pick
Will Johnson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
Look for him to go in the first round, of course, in April's draft.
Tyler Warren to be picked “as high as top five. He will not escape the top ten” (picks 1–5)
I think he might go as high as top five. He will not escape the top ten.
Mason Graham to be picked “a top five pick” (picks 1–5)
He is a top five pick and I wouldn't be shocked if he goes even higher than that.
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 1
Daniel Jeremiah's latest mock draft was twenty twenty five two point zero and he actually has the top pick, being a pass rusher Abdual Carter out of the Big Ten Penn State Tennessee Titans first pick. Overall, they don't trade out and they take a pass rusher.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
the reason that I think the Titans go quarterback... the guy I'm taking to be more upfront is cam Or, I would go out and take cam Ord... I'm gonna go out and I think they take Campboy.
Kain Medrano to be picked “drafted”
So I went from undrafted on him to drafted like love that yesterday
Danny Stutsman to be picked “top one hundred” (picks 1–1)
and he did like he made himself money, he helped himself. I thought he was like a third fourth. I think he's in the top one hundred now. Is a linebacker.
James Pearce Jr. to be picked at number 32
All I know is late my latest mind Draft thirty two, James Fears was going to the Philadelphia
Jihaad Campbell to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
Jehat Campbell from Alabama. If he doesn't go in the first round, guys, I don't know what, Like, what are we doing?
Donovan Ezeiruaku to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
a player that was moving yesterday the top at the three cone drill might have solidified himself as a first draup pick
Tyler Warren to be picked “more as top fifteen” (picks 1–15)
That being top ten might be a little rich, I might say more as top fifteen
Tyleik Williams to be picked “sneaking into the back end of the first round; if anything, he's a day two guy” (picks 1–32)
I could see him sneaking into the back end of the first round... But if anything, he's a day too. Guy
Jihaad Campbell to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
I know teams don't want to draft three down linebackers too early, so he's he's a first round pick. We'll see how high he goes.
Devin Neal to be picked “round two guy”
Neal is like a round I might go round two guy with him
Colston Loveland to be picked “maybe in that eighteen to twenty four range”
I look at you more in the twenties, and that's where I kind of I've loved one. Maybe in that eighteen to twenty four range.
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 1
his agent, Drew Rosenhaus says he's not planning to undergo surgery, that he will work out at his pro day, and Rosenhouse even said I'm confident he's going to go number one.
Xavier Restrepo to be picked “like a third rounder” (picks 65–102)
He's a slot only guy, but he'll probably be a number three, but I like him as like a third rounder.
