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Michael Middlehurst-SchwartzJan 25, 2026

Their mock, as read on air, has Sonny Styles at No. 12 and Clemson cornerback Avion Terrell at No. 20.

Said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
55.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

The episode
HIGHLIGHT: Jeff Cavanaugh's Dallas Cowboys Mock Draft Round-Up 2.0
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 25
  2. GradedOct 1
  1. 1Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 20“And at number 20, Avion Terrell, cornerback Clemson.”
  2. 2Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12“Michael Middlehurst Schwartz from USA Today... Number 12, Sonny Styles, linebacker Ohio State.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 201Mock Draft PicksWent 4829.7350+50
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 122Mock Draft PicksWent 780.5250+50
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled55.150

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 55.1 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Sonny Styles · 2025 season · overall pick

5 calls from 5 pundits between 2 overall pick and 27 overall pick. Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz said 12 overall pick. the room's median is 12 overall pick. what happened: 7 overall pick

Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz — 12 overall pickthe room — 5 calls from 5 punditsmedian 12 overall pickwhat happened — 7 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
20They said
48What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksAvieon Terrell

    Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 20

    What happenedWent 48mocked at 20
    29.73Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Avieon Terrell
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    29.73
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    48
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    29.73
    predicted pick:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksSonny Styles

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12

    What happenedWent 7mocked at 12
    80.52Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    55.1naive 50

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