Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 3, 2026
Dajani picks the Colts to beat the Commanders in London by a 27-21 score, with Jonathan Taylor scoring two rushing touchdowns.
Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original
What Jordan Dajani said
I'll take Indy to pull out a victory thanks to two touchdowns from Taylor.
- Where it was published
- CBS Sports
- The piece
- Commanders vs. Colts: Jonathan Taylor, Marcus Mariota lead teams into London
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 3
- PlayedOct 4
- GradedOct 4
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 73.8 out of 100, against 10.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsIndianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts 27 — Commanders 21
What happenedColts 30–13called Colts by 6 · won by 1773.81Close · naive 10.8673.81this call−10.86a naive guess=62.95better than naive×1.83difficulty=+115.2skillClosing line (Oct 4): Colts by 4.5, total 46.5 · this 27–21 calls a bigger Colts win (by 6) and more points (48). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 30-13
- skill:
- 115.2
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 73.81
- baseline:
- 10.86
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 0.56
- predicted margin:
- 6
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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