Tyler Sullivan#27 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 9, 2026
A CBS Sports Week 1 "it wouldn't shock me if" piece predicting a 100-yard rushing game for David Montgomery, a touchdown for Devaughn Vele, a 100-yard receiving game for Brock Bowers, and that Tua Tagovailoa's run as Atlanta's starter ends after one game.
Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original
What Tyler Sullivan said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromIt wouldn't shock me if ... Tua Tagovailoa is one-and-done as the Falcons starter
- Where it was published
- CBS Sports
- The piece
- It wouldn't shock me IF ... for NFL Week 1: Tua one-and-done as QB1, Patrick Mahomes under siege on 'MNF'
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- 1Brock Bowers to record 100 receiving yards“It wouldn't shock me if ... Brock Bowers has 100-plus receiving yards”
- 2Devaughn Vele to record 1 receiving tds“It wouldn't shock me if ... Devaughn Vele scores a touchdown”
- 3David Montgomery to record 100 rushing yards“It wouldn't shock me if ... David Montgomery rushes for 100-plus yards”
- 4Tua Tagovailoa to be 2nd on the depth chart“It wouldn't shock me if ... Tua Tagovailoa is one-and-done as the Falcons starter ... Maybe even so rough that it could emphasize Penix ... to suit up for Week 2.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Bowers to record 100 receiving yards1 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| Devaughn Vele to record 1 receiving tds2 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| David Montgomery to record 100 rushing yards3 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| Tua Tagovailoa to be 2nd on the depth chart4 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 4 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
4 checkable claims — 3 player season numbers and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Tua Tagovailoa · 2026 season12 calls from 11 pundits between 1 and 2. Tyler Sullivan said 2. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the record
receiving yardsTheir call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.
1Player Season NumbersBrock BowersLas Vegas Raiders
Brock Bowers to record 100 receiving yards
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Player Season NumbersDevaughn VeleNew Orleans Saints
Devaughn Vele to record 1 receiving tds
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Player Season NumbersDavid MontgomeryHouston Texans
David Montgomery to record 100 rushing yards
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Depth Chart CallsTua TagovailoaAtlanta Falcons
Tua Tagovailoa to be 2nd on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks.Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta.JP Acosta · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco.Gregg Rosenthal · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta.Bobby Skinner · Trade and Signing Calls · Stefon Diggs · Miss 0
Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed.
More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Andrew Erickson · Player Season Numbers · James Cook · Close 67
Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and they expect James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range.Chris Broussard · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 92
Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. They also take the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.Nick Wright · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 100
Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record.Nick Wright · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 84
Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among their weekly picks they expect the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee.Rich Eisen · Player Season Numbers · Micah Parsons · Close 56
Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. They also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.Daniel Jeremiah · Player Season Numbers · Nick Emmanwori · Miss 0
Jeremiah walked through their mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. They also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston.