Peter BukowskiMar 23, 2026
In a mock draft using a consensus board simulator, they have the Packers making an off-consensus pick of running back Mike Washington Junior at 52, defensive tackle Grayson Halton at 84, and cornerback Devin Moore at 120. They also predict Jordan Morgan will start this year and that Luke Musgrave will leave in free agency next year and land a contract elsewhere.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast)Hear the original
What Peter Bukowski said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromMike Washington Junior at 52. Grayson Halton, defensive tackle from Oklahoma, who I love.
- Where it was said
- Locked On Packers (podcast)
- The episode
- Brian Gutekunst does NOT MISS in the top 100 of the NFL draft, even if he doesn't hit big enough
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMar 23
- GradedAug 14
- 1Mike Washington to be picked at number 52“Mike Washington Junior at 52. Grayson Halton, defensive tackle from Oklahoma, who I love.”
- 2Devin Moore to be picked at number 120“and Devon Moore, same thing at one twenty. Size, pedigree, athleticism.”
- 3Gracen Halton to be picked at number 84“If he's there at 84, you run the card in”
- 4Luke Musgrave to move“the Packers will allow him to walk in free agency next year and he will go get a contract somewhere else and he will produce”
- 5Jordan Morgan to be 1st on the depth chart“Like everyone else from the 2024 class, Jordan Morgan's gonna start this year.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Washington to be picked at number 521 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 122 | 4.82 | 50 | −25 | |
| Devin Moore to be picked at number 1202 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 114 | 77.11 | 50 | −25 | |
| Gracen Halton to be picked at number 843 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 107 | 36.92 | 50 | −25 | |
| Luke Musgrave to move4 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Jordan Morgan to be 1st on the depth chart5 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 5 calls · 1 close call · 2 misses · 2 waiting | 39.6 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive5 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks, 1 depth chart call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 39.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Jordan Morgan · 2026 season12 calls from 8 pundits between 1 and 1. Peter Bukowski said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
1Mock Draft PicksMike WashingtonGreen Bay Packers
Mike Washington to be picked at number 52
What happenedWent 122mocked at 524.82Miss · naive 5025this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=−25worse than naive×1difficulty=−25skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- −25
- player:
- Mike Washington
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 4.82
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 122
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 4.82
- predicted pick:
- 52
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 25
2Mock Draft PicksDevin MooreGreen Bay Packers
Devin Moore to be picked at number 120
What happenedWent 114mocked at 12077.11Close · naive 5025this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=−25worse than naive×1difficulty=−25skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- −25
- player:
- Devin Moore
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 114
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 120
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 25
3Mock Draft PicksGracen HaltonGreen Bay Packers
Gracen Halton to be picked at number 84
What happenedWent 107mocked at 8436.92Miss · naive 5025this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=−25worse than naive×1difficulty=−25skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- −25
- player:
- Gracen Halton
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 36.92
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 107
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 36.92
- predicted pick:
- 84
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 25
4Trade and Signing CallsLuke Musgrave
Luke Musgrave to move
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Depth Chart CallsJordan MorganGreen Bay Packers
Jordan Morgan to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
39.6naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Bill Huber · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite their rib injury. They also sketch the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.Derek Brown · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. They were bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.Danny Parkins · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Parkins named the seven AFC teams they believe are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as their Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.John Middlekauff · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Middlekauff declared the AFC South over and the Jaguars the division champs, while listing several clubs they expect in the playoffs and pegging the Jets for a top-five draft slot. They also leaned Packers and Bears in Week 9 games, predicted roughly five or six wins for Washington, said Brandon Aiyuk is not coming back, and called Tyson Bagent's current deal the biggest they'll ever sign.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.