Pete Prisco#51 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 18, 2026

Prisco picks four road/home winners with exact scores: Falcons over Panthers, Bears over Vikings, Jaguars upsetting Broncos, Chargers over Raiders, and Cowboys over Commanders.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0 of 5calls landed4 close calls · 1 miss · all settled

41.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls

39A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

5Games calledeveryone’s picks below

#51Pete Prisco’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pete Prisco said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Falcons win it behind Robinson's big day.

Pete Prisco, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: CBS Sports
The piece: NFL Week 2 odds, predictions, expert picks: Can blitz-heavy Vikings overtake Bears? Will Cards upset Seahawks?
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 18
PlayedSep 20
GradedSep 21

1Dallas Cowboys 31 — Commanders 24“Pete Prisco on why the Cowboys will notch their first win of the season over Washington, 31-24.”
2Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Broncos 20“Pete Prisco on why he likes Jacksonville to pull off the 23-20 upset in Denver.”
3Los Angeles Chargers 24 — Raiders 16“Pete Prisco on why he has the Chargers bouncing back against the Raiders, 24-16.”
4Atlanta Falcons 21 — Panthers 17“Pete Prisco on why he has the Falcons taking down the Panthers on the road, 21-17.”
5Chicago Bears 30 — Vikings 24“Pete Prisco on why he has the Bears pulling off the 30-24 win over Minnesota.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Dallas Cowboys 31 — Commanders 24¹	Score Predictions	Cowboys 37–20	76.19	58.29	+34.72
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Broncos 20²	Score Predictions	Broncos 20–13	40.48	82.1	−80.76
Los Angeles Chargers 24 — Raiders 16³	Score Predictions	Raiders 26–14	40.48	20.2	+39.34
Atlanta Falcons 21 — Panthers 17⁴	Score Predictions	Panthers 34–3	0	0	0
Chicago Bears 30 — Vikings 24⁵	Score Predictions	Vikings 9–3	50	34.49	+30.1
5 calls · 4 close calls · 1 miss · all settled			41.4	39

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 5 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 41.4 out of 100, against 39 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys 31 — Commanders 24
What happenedCowboys 37–20called Cowboys by 7 · won by 17
76.19Close · naive 58.29
76.19this call58.29a naive guess17.9better than naive1.94difficulty+34.72skill
Closing line (Sep 20): Cowboys by 3.5, total 51.5 · this 31–24 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 7) and more points (55).
How this was scored
score:
20-37
skill:
34.72
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
76.19
baseline:
58.29
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
−0.52
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Broncos 20
What happenedBroncos 20–13called Jaguars by 3 · lost by 7
40.48Close · naive 82.1
Closing line (Sep 20): Broncos by 2.5, total 45.5 · this 23–20 calls a Jaguars win (by 3; the line gave the Jaguars 43%) and fewer points (43).
How this was scored
score:
13-20
skill:
−80.76
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
82.1
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
−0.52
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
3Score Predictions Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers 24 — Raiders 16
What happenedRaiders 26–14called Chargers by 8 · lost by 12
40.48Close · naive 20.2
40.48this call20.2a naive guess20.28better than naive1.94difficulty+39.34skill
Closing line (Sep 20): Chargers by 6.5, total 43.5 · this 24–16 calls a bigger Chargers win (by 8) and fewer points (40).
How this was scored
score:
26-14
skill:
39.34
they picked:
LAC
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
20.2
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
−0.52
predicted margin:
8
Think this is wrong?
4Score Predictions Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons 21 — Panthers 17
What happenedPanthers 34–3called Falcons by 4 · lost by 31
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill
Closing line (Sep 20): Panthers by 2.5, total 43.5 · this 21–17 calls a Falcons win (by 4; the line gave the Falcons 42%) and fewer points (38).
How this was scored
score:
34-3
skill:
0
they picked:
ATL
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
31
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
−0.52
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
5Score Predictions Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears 30 — Vikings 24
What happenedVikings 9–3called Bears by 6 · lost by 6
50Close · naive 34.49
50this call34.49a naive guess15.51better than naive1.94difficulty+30.1skill
Closing line (Sep 20): Bears by 4.5, total 46.5 · this 30–24 calls a bigger Bears win (by 6) and more points (54).
How this was scored
score:
9-3
skill:
30.1
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
34.49
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
−0.52
predicted margin:
6
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
41.4naive 39

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.
Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.
John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.