Pat Fitzmaurice#8 of 87 NFL pundits · Jul 26, 2025
Fitzmorris calls rookie Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan a major value relative to their ECR (WR28, 59 overall), ranking them WR21, and touts Drake May as a top-10 fantasy QB well ahead of their QB16 ECR.
Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Pat Fitzmaurice said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI really do believe he's going to be a top ten quarterback this season if he stays healthy.
- Where it was said
- FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- FantasyPros - The BEST Fantasy Football Value Picks of 2025 (Ep. 1628)
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJul 26, 2025
- GradedAug 7–19, 2026
- 1Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost (ECRs QB sixteen one hundred and eighth overall)“it's Drake May. Who's ECRs QB sixteen one hundred and eighth overall. I have Drake May QB eight eighty ninth overall.”
- 2Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (ECRs wide receiver twenty eight fifty nine overall)“My second favorite value pick for twenty twenty five, Seth is Tetoroa McMillan, the rookie wide receiver for the Carolina Panthers ECRs wide receiver twenty eight fifty nine overall. I have him at wide receiver twenty one forty six overall.”
- 3Drake Maye to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points“So I have May rank QB eight. I really do believe he's going to be a top ten quarterback this season if he stays healthy.”
- 4Tetairoa McMillan to finish top 21 at his position, by fantasy points“I have him at wide receiver twenty one forty six overall.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost (ECRs QB sixteen one hundred and eighth overall)1 | Sleeper Calls | — | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (ECRs wide receiver twenty eight fifty nine overall)2 | Sleeper Calls | — | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| Drake Maye to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points3 | Positional Finishes | Finished #2 | 33.33 | 0 | +66.67 | |
| Tetairoa McMillan to finish top 21 at his position, by fantasy points4 | Positional Finishes | Finished #13 | 33.33 | 0 | +66.67 | |
| 4 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · all settled | 66.7 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 2 positional finishes and 2 sleeper calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Sleeper CallsDrake MayeNew England Patriots
Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost (ECRs QB sixteen one hundred and eighth overall)
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECRs QB sixteen one hundred and eighth overall
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- had to beat:
- QB22
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- QB2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
2Sleeper CallsTetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (ECRs wide receiver twenty eight fifty nine overall)
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECRs wide receiver twenty eight fifty nine overall
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR36
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR13
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
3Positional FinishesDrake MayeNew England Patriots
Drake Maye to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
What happenedFinished #2called #10 · by fantasy points33.33Miss · naive 033.33this call−0a naive guess=33.33better than naive×2difficulty=+66.67skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 66.67
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 33.33
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 22
- actual finish:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 10
4Positional FinishesTetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Tetairoa McMillan to finish top 21 at his position, by fantasy points
What happenedFinished #13called #21 · by fantasy points33.33Miss · naive 033.33this call−0a naive guess=33.33better than naive×2difficulty=+66.67skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 66.67
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 33.33
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at WR
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 36
- actual finish:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 21
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
66.7naive 0
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.Chris Simms · Score Predictions · New England Patriots · Miss 31
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Wright made several outright game calls for Week 9 alongside their spread picks: Kansas City beating the Jets 31-20, Detroit winning at Miami, New England edging Green Bay by a field goal or so, Carolina winning outright over Denver, and Houston blowing out the Chargers 27-12.
More sleeper calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Sleeper Calls · Travis Hunter · Hit 100
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Sleeper Calls · Tyler Warren · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Joe Pisapia · Sleeper Calls · Tyreek Hill · Miss 0
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.Derek Brown · Sleeper Calls · George Pickens · Hit 100
Brown's five-to-one breakout list was Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Tucker Kraft, Ricky Pearsall, George Pickens and Tetairoa McMillan; they forecast Brian Robinson Jr. being cut or traded, Kraft finishing as a top-five/six tight end, Pickens as a top-15 receiver and McMillan spiking for double-digit touchdowns.