Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 17, 2025
Eisen argues the Bengals' season isn't over without Joe Burrow, projecting Jake Browning to go a game over .500 the rest of the way for a 10-7 finish that could earn a wild card, and they think Cincinnati can beat Minnesota to go 3-0. They also gave a top-five MVP list through two weeks (Josh Allen first) and said Jonathan Taylor is on pace to win the rushing title.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original
What Rich Eisen said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromWhy would anybody be surprised if Jake Browning goes one game over 500? That's ten and seven the rest of the way.
- Where it was said
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
- The episode
- Hour 1: NFL Network’s Kurt Warner, Rich’s Top 5 NFL MVP Candidates through Week 2
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 17, 2025
- GradedAug 13, 2026
- 1Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 10 wins“Why would anybody be surprised if Jake Browning goes one game over 500? That's ten and seven the rest of the way. Ten and seven might make the playoffs. Season is not over.”
- 2Cincinnati Bengals to beat Minnesota“And I think the Bengals can go to three and o this week potentially.”
- 3Josh Allen to win MVP“So I'm putting him two and Josh Allen one... it might wind up with Josh Allen one.”
- 4Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards“Jonathan Taylor is, you know, on a pace to potentially win the rushing title this year.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 10 wins1 | Season Win Totals | 6 | 20 | 45 | −47.25 | |
| Cincinnati Bengals to beat Minnesota2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −189 | |
| Josh Allen to win MVP3 | Award Picks | Matthew Stafford won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards4 | Positional Finishes | Finished #3 | 83.33 | 91.67 | −15.75 | |
| 4 calls · 1 hit · 3 misses · all settled | 25.8 | 59.2 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 game outcome pick, 1 positional finish and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 25.8 out of 100, against 59.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Cincinnati Bengals · 2025 season · wins4 calls from 3 pundits between 6 wins and 13 wins. Rich Eisen said 10 wins. the room's median is 9 wins. what happened: 6 wins
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
winsTheir call against what actually happened.
1Season Win TotalsCincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 10 wins
What happened6called 1020Miss · naive 4520this call−45a naive guess=−25worse than naive×1.89difficulty=−47.25skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- CIN
- naive:
- 8.75
- skill:
- −47.25
- what happened:
- 6
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 45
- they said:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
2Game Outcome PicksCincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Minnesota
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.89difficulty=−189skillClosing line (Sep 21): Vikings by 3 · underdog pick, Bengals 41%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 10-48
- skill:
- −189
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
Josh Allen to win MVP
What happenedMatthew Stafford woncalled Josh Allen0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.89difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Josh Allen
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
4Positional FinishesJonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
What happenedFinished #3called #1 · by rushing yards83.33Hit · naive 91.6783.33this call−91.67a naive guess=−8.34worse than naive×1.89difficulty=−15.75skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −15.75
- player:
- Jonathan Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- rushing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 4
- actual finish:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- predicted finish:
- 1
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
25.8naive 59.2
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Long · Game Outcome Picks · Indianapolis Colts · Miss 0
Previewing the Week 9 slate, Chris Long expects the Saints to beat Cleveland, the Colts to beat Dallas, New England to edge Green Bay, and Baltimore to beat the Chargers on Monday night. They also call the Packers a top-10 defense once Micah Parsons returns, names their top six quarterbacks of the season, and expects Brandon Ayuk to be released, with Will Lee and Trevion Henderson sidelined this week.Jesse Holley · Game Outcome Picks · Indianapolis Colts · Miss 0
Jesse predicted the Cowboys finish 10-7 but still win the NFC East with 10 wins, picking Dallas over the Giants, Commanders, Texans, Buccaneers, Colts (loss), and losing to Baltimore, Green Bay, Philadelphia twice, Arizona, Seattle and the Rams.Danny Parkins · Game Outcome Picks · Indianapolis Colts · Miss 0
Parkins predicted the Cowboys will finish 11-6, starting 5-1 with wins over the Giants, Commanders and an upset of the Ravens, splitting with Philadelphia, and beating Green Bay and Jacksonville, while losing to the Texans, 49ers, Eagles, Colts, Seahawks and Rams.Derek Brown · Game Outcome Picks · Cincinnati Bengals · Hit 100
Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. They were bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.