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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 17, 2025

Eisen argues the Bengals' season isn't over without Joe Burrow, projecting Jake Browning to go a game over .500 the rest of the way for a 10-7 finish that could earn a wild card, and they think Cincinnati can beat Minnesota to go 3-0. They also gave a top-five MVP list through two weeks (Josh Allen first) and said Jonathan Taylor is on pace to win the rushing title.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 4calls landed1 hit · 3 misses · all settled
25.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
59.2A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Why would anybody be surprised if Jake Browning goes one game over 500? That's ten and seven the rest of the way.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 1: NFL Network’s Kurt Warner, Rich’s Top 5 NFL MVP Candidates through Week 2
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 17, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026
  1. 1Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 10 wins“Why would anybody be surprised if Jake Browning goes one game over 500? That's ten and seven the rest of the way. Ten and seven might make the playoffs. Season is not over.”
  2. 2Cincinnati Bengals to beat Minnesota“And I think the Bengals can go to three and o this week potentially.”
  3. 3Josh Allen to win MVP“So I'm putting him two and Josh Allen one... it might wind up with Josh Allen one.”
  4. 4Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards“Jonathan Taylor is, you know, on a pace to potentially win the rushing title this year.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 10 wins1Season Win Totals62045−47.25
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Minnesota2Game Outcome Picks—0100−189
Josh Allen to win MVP3Award PicksMatthew Stafford won000
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards4Positional FinishesFinished #383.3391.67−15.75
4 calls · 1 hit · 3 misses · all settled25.859.2

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 game outcome pick, 1 positional finish and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 25.8 out of 100, against 59.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Cincinnati Bengals · 2025 season · wins

4 calls from 3 pundits between 6 wins and 13 wins. Rich Eisen said 10 wins. the room's median is 9 wins. what happened: 6 wins

Rich Eisen — 10 winsthe room — 4 calls from 3 punditsmedian 9 winswhat happened — 6 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

wins
10They said
6What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Season Win TotalsCincinnati Bengals

    Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 10 wins

    What happened6called 10
    20Miss · naive 45
    20this call45a naive guess−25worse than naive1.89difficulty−47.25skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    CIN
    naive:
    8.75
    skill:
    −47.25
    what happened:
    6
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    20
    baseline:
    45
    they said:
    10
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksCincinnati Bengals

    Cincinnati Bengals to beat Minnesota

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.89difficulty−189skill

    Closing line (Sep 21): Vikings by 3 · underdog pick, Bengals 41%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    10-48
    skill:
    −189
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    MIN
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Award PicksJosh Allen

    Josh Allen to win MVP

    What happenedMatthew Stafford woncalled Josh Allen
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Josh Allen
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Positional FinishesJonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts

    Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards

    What happenedFinished #3called #1 · by rushing yards
    83.33Hit · naive 91.67
    83.33this call91.67a naive guess−8.34worse than naive1.89difficulty−15.75skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −15.75
    player:
    Jonathan Taylor
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    RB
    ranked by:
    rushing yards
    difficulty:
    1.89
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    4
    actual finish:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    16
    predicted finish:
    1
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    25.8naive 59.2

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