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Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 16, 2025

Wright reaffirmed their pick of Tampa Bay to reach the Super Bowl, saying they took them in part because they believe they can earn the No. 1 seed, and predicted Joe Burrow will win a record third Comeback Player of the Year award next season.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 3calls landed3 misses · all settled
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I picked Tampa to go to the super Bowl in large part because I thought they could have the number one seed.
Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 2 - Nick Wright Debates if the Chiefs Should Be in Colin's Top-10
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 16, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026
  1. 1Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed“in large part because I thought they could have the number one seed. I think Philly and Green Bays divisions are so much tougher than what Baker's going to be dealing with.”
  2. 2Tampa Bay Buccaneers to reach the Super Bowl“I picked Tampa to go to the super Bowl in large part because I thought they could have the number one seed.”
  3. 3Joe Burrow to win Comeback Player of the Year“next year he likely becomes the NFL's first ever three times Comeback Player of the Year winner”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed1Seeding, Byes and Home Field—000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to reach the Super Bowl2Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
Joe Burrow to win Comeback Player of the Year3Award PicksChristian McCaffrey won000
3 calls · 3 misses · all settled00

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 conference champion and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Seeding, Byes and Home FieldTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    checked as:
    the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
    actual tier:
    missed the playoffs
    difficulty:
    1.89
    the naive guess:
    where they finished last season (host)
    weeks in the season:
    18
    claimed seed:
    1
    claimed tier:
    bye
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Conference ChampionsTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked TB
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    1.89
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Award PicksJoe BurrowCincinnati Bengals

    Joe Burrow to win Comeback Player of the Year

    What happenedChristian McCaffrey woncalled Joe Burrow
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    comeback_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Joe Burrow
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Christian McCaffrey
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 0

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.