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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 3, 2025

Cowherd takes the Titans over their win total, arguing Cam Ward and Brian Callahan clear a weak schedule, and they back New England as an eight-to-nine win team. They also peg Syracuse QB Kyle McCord as a second-round-caliber pick.

Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 3calls landed3 misses · all settled
6.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
31.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think I'm gonna take the Titans over.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Colin Cowherd Podcast - Who Should Draft Shedeur? Best NFL Over/Under Win Totals, College Football Is Better Than Ever
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 2, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Kyle McCord to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)“I've said Kyle McCord at Syracuse. I take him in the second round and feel pretty good... Then I watched them at Syracuse and I'm like, shit, that's a second round pick.”
  2. 2New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins“So New England was one of my overs... This is an eight to nine win team. And again the Jets are a bit lost... So I think New England's in play.”
  3. 3Tennessee Titans to finish with 7 wins“So I look at the over under on Tennessee and you know it's five and a half. Some have had it at six and a half. I think they clear that bar easily... and so I Titans to me earn over.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kyle McCord to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)1Mock Draft PicksWent 1810.6350—
New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins2Season Win Totals14000
Tennessee Titans to finish with 7 wins3Season Win Totals32045−50
3 calls · 3 misses · all settled6.931.7

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 season win totals and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 6.9 out of 100, against 31.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
second round (picks 33–64)They said
181What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksKyle McCord

    Kyle McCord to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    What happenedWent 181
    0.63Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Kyle McCord
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.63
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    181
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.63
    predicted pick:
    second round (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Season Win TotalsNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins

    What happened14called 9
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    naive:
    6.25
    skill:
    0
    what happened:
    14
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    they said:
    9
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Season Win TotalsTennessee Titans

    Tennessee Titans to finish with 7 wins

    What happened3called 7
    20Miss · naive 45
    20this call45a naive guess−25worse than naive2difficulty−50skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    TEN
    naive:
    5.75
    skill:
    −50
    what happened:
    3
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    20
    baseline:
    45
    they said:
    7
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    6.9naive 31.7

Others on the same people

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.