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David Harrison#57 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 6, 2026

In their weekly "Mock Draft Monday" for the Commanders, Harrison has Washington trade up from No. 7 to No. 3 with Arizona to take Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles, then adds Ephesians Prysock, Pat Coogan, Lorenzo Styles Jr. and Roman Hemby on Day 3. They also project Coogan as a backup center and Lorenzo Styles as a top-two free safety on the roster in time.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 5calls landed1 hit · 2 close calls · 2 misses · 2 waiting
49.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 7Settled2 still waiting
#57David Harrison’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What David Harrison said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So adding to number three, Sonny Styles linebacker at Ohio State at number one forty seven in the fifth round.
David Harrison, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
FRANCHISE-ALTERING: Why a TRADE UP for Sonny Styles Makes Sense for the Commanders [Mock Draft]
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 5
  2. GradedOct 1
  1. 1Pat Coogan to be picked at number 187“Number one eighty seven, Pat Coogan making his debut on our mock drafts here. Center out of Indiana.”
  2. 2Sonny Styles to be picked at number 3“And in this week's mock draft Monday, we did exactly that. And by doing so, we landed linebacker Sonny Styles because of it at number three.”
  3. 3Roman Hemby to be picked at number 223“Number two twenty three, also a repeat player, Roman Hemby, running back out of Indiana.”
  4. 4Lorenzo Styles to be picked at number 209“Number two zero nine, Lorenzo Styles junior defensive back out of Ohio State.”
  5. 5Ephesians Prysock to be picked at number 147“Number one forty seven in the fifth round, Ephesians Prysock, cornerback out of Washington”
  6. 6Pat Coogan to be 2nd on the depth chart“First year, I think he's a competitive backup... I think, ultimately, he ends up a backup to Nick Alo ready, there at at the center position.”
  7. 7Lorenzo Styles to be 2nd on the depth chart“If the IQ gets better as a coverage guy with that education, I think he could be one of the top two free safeties on this team”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Pat Coogan to be picked at number 1871Mock Draft PicksWent 19473.8450+40
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 32Mock Draft PicksWent 784.0950+40
Roman Hemby to be picked at number 2233Mock Draft PicksWent undrafted050+40
Lorenzo Styles to be picked at number 2094Mock Draft PicksWent 17220.1350+40
Ephesians Prysock to be picked at number 1475Mock Draft PicksWent 13970.7150+40
Pat Coogan to be 2nd on the depth chart6Depth Chart Calls————
Lorenzo Styles to be 2nd on the depth chart7Depth Chart Calls————
7 calls · 1 hit · 2 close calls · 2 misses · 2 waiting49.850

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

7 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks and 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

5 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 49.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Sonny Styles · 2026 season · overall pick

5 calls from 5 pundits between 3 overall pick and 7 overall pick. David Harrison said 3 overall pick. the room's median is 7 overall pick. what happened: 7 overall pick

David Harrison — 3 overall pickthe room — 5 calls from 5 punditsmedian 7 overall pickwhat happened — 7 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
187They said
194What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksPat CooganWashington Commanders

    Pat Coogan to be picked at number 187

    What happenedWent 194mocked at 187
    73.84Close · naive 50
    90this mock’s order50a shuffled mock40better than naive1difficulty+40skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    40
    player:
    Pat Coogan
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    194
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    187
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    90
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesWashington Commanders

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 3

    What happenedWent 7mocked at 3
    84.09Hit · naive 50
    90this mock’s order50a shuffled mock40better than naive1difficulty+40skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    40
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    90
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksRoman HembyWashington Commanders

    Roman Hemby to be picked at number 223

    What happenedWent undraftedmocked at 223
    0Miss · naive 50
    90this mock’s order50a shuffled mock40better than naive1difficulty+40skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    40
    player:
    Roman Hemby
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with LV
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    223
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    90
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksLorenzo StylesWashington Commanders

    Lorenzo Styles to be picked at number 209

    What happenedWent 172mocked at 209
    20.13Miss · naive 50
    90this mock’s order50a shuffled mock40better than naive1difficulty+40skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    40
    player:
    Lorenzo Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    20.13
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    172
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    20.13
    predicted pick:
    209
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    90
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Mock Draft PicksEphesians PrysockWashington Commanders

    Ephesians Prysock to be picked at number 147

    What happenedWent 139mocked at 147
    70.71Close · naive 50
    90this mock’s order50a shuffled mock40better than naive1difficulty+40skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    40
    player:
    Ephesians Prysock
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    139
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    147
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    90
    Think this is wrong?
  6. 6Depth Chart CallsPat CooganWashington Commanders

    Pat Coogan to be 2nd on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. 7Depth Chart CallsLorenzo StylesWashington Commanders

    Lorenzo Styles to be 2nd on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  8. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    49.8naive 50

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