Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 4, 2026

Wright argues Matt Stafford deserves MVP but predicts Drake Maye will win the award; they also pick Kyle Shanahan for Coach of the Year and Christian McCaffrey for Offensive Player of the Year over JSN. They make several Week 18 game calls and thinks Seattle beats San Francisco to take the NFC's one seed, while the Raiders' loss scenario yields the No. 1 overall pick.

Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 4calls landed1 hit · 3 misses · all settled
25Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
25A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So I think last night Drake May won the MVP and I do not like that at all.
Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)
The episode
What's Wright - Best Of - Brock Purdy & 49ers SUPER BOWL bound? Stafford vs. Maye MVP, NFL Week 18 Picks
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 3
  2. GradedAug 7–17
  1. 1Chicago Bears to beat Packers“I think that if they win against Detroit and get the two seed, I think they'll beat the Packers in round two. In round one”
  2. 2Drake Maye to win MVP“So I think last night Drake May won the MVP and I do not like that at all... it's now going to be betting wise, it's over and conventional wisdom wise, Drake May won the award”
  3. 3Christian McCaffrey to win Offensive Player of the Year“Christian McCaffrey should win. Often to play the year over JSN”
  4. 4Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year“I think Shanahan's been coach of the year... No, I would give it to Shanahan and Christian McCaffrey.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Chicago Bears to beat Packers1Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Drake Maye to win MVP2Award PicksMatthew Stafford won000
Christian McCaffrey to win Offensive Player of the Year3Award PicksJaxon Smith-Njigba won000
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year4Coach Award PicksMike Vrabel won000
4 calls · 1 hit · 3 misses · all settled2525

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 award picks, 1 coach award pick and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat Packers

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.06difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    27-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Award PicksDrake MayeNew England Patriots

    Drake Maye to win MVP

    What happenedMatthew Stafford woncalled Drake Maye
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.06difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Drake Maye
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Award PicksChristian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

    Christian McCaffrey to win Offensive Player of the Year

    What happenedJaxon Smith-Njigba woncalled Christian McCaffrey
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.06difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Christian McCaffrey
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Coach Award Picks

    Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year

    What happenedMike Vrabel woncalled Kyle Shanahan
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.06difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    coach_of_the_year
    coach:
    Kyle Shanahan
    naive:
    the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Mike Vrabel
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    25naive 25

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these