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Jason McIntyre#46 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 24, 2025

McIntyre said the Raiders will hold a top-three pick, possibly No. 1, and that the Raiders–Giants game sets up the Giants with the No. 1 pick; they also think Baltimore must trade Lamar Jackson this offseason.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 1 waiting
92Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
89.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
#46Jason McIntyre’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jason McIntyre said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Well, the Raiders are the one that make the most sense. They're going to have a top three pick, maybe number one.
Jason McIntyre, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 3 – Mark Schlereth weighs in on Ravens report, What would the Giants do with the no. 1 pick?
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidDec 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1New York Giants to pick at number 1“And by the way, this one set up the Giants with the number one pick.”
  2. 2Las Vegas Raiders to pick “a top three pick, maybe number one” (picks 1–3)“They're going to have a top three pick, maybe number one.”
  3. 3Lamar Jackson to move“You know the injury history, Colin, I think they got to make a move this offseason.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
New York Giants to pick at number 11Team Draft Slot CallsPicked at 584.0991.7−8.45
Las Vegas Raiders to pick “a top three pick, maybe number one” (picks 1–3)2Team Draft Slot CallsPicked at 110087.81+13.53
Lamar Jackson to move3Trade and Signing Calls————
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 waiting9289.8

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 team draft slot calls and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 92 out of 100, against 89.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
5What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Team Draft Slot CallsNew York Giants

    New York Giants to pick at number 1

    What happenedPicked at 5called 1
    84.09Hit · naive 91.7
    84.09this call91.7a naive guess−7.61worse than naive1.11difficulty−8.45skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    NYG
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    they picked 3 the year before
    skill:
    −8.45
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    91.7
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    2
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Team Draft Slot CallsLas Vegas Raiders

    Las Vegas Raiders to pick “a top three pick, maybe number one” (picks 1–3)

    What happenedPicked at 1
    100Hit · naive 87.81
    100this call87.81a naive guess12.19better than naive1.11difficulty+13.53skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    LV
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    they picked 6 the year before
    skill:
    13.53
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    87.81
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted pick:
    a top three pick, maybe number one (picks 1–3)
    weeks left when called:
    2
    Think this is wrong?
  3. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    92naive 89.8

Others on the same people

More team draft slot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.