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Bucky Brooks#26 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 1, 2026

In their second NFL.com mock draft, Brooks has Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 overall to Las Vegas and Miami edge rusher Ruben Bain Jr. going No. 7 to the Washington Commanders. They also believe Vanderbilt QB Diego Pavia will go undrafted entirely.

Said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · 1 waiting
85.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
#26Bucky Brooks’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Bucky Brooks said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I don't think he's gonna get drafted.
Bucky Brooks, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Andy Furman & Bucky Brooks talk NFLPA Report Cards, 2026 NFL Combine & Draft, & So Much More!
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMar 1
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“You do have Fernando Mendoza as the number one pick for the Las Vegas Rangers.”
  2. 2Rueben Bain to be picked at number 7“You have the number seven pick going to the Washington Commanders and Ruben Bain junior ... University of Miami ... edge rusher”
  3. 3Diego Pavia to be picked “I don't think he's gonna get drafted”“Will he get drafted? I don't think so. I don't. I don't. I don't think he's gonna get drafted. No”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 11Mock Draft PicksWent 110050+50
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 72Mock Draft PicksWent 1570.7150+50
Diego Pavia to be picked “I don't think he's gonna get drafted”3Mock Draft Picks————
3 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 1 waiting85.450

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 85.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Fernando Mendoza · 2026 season · overall pick

9 calls from 8 pundits between 1 overall pick and 2 overall pick. Bucky Brooks said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick

Bucky Brooks — 1 overall pickthe room — 9 calls from 8 punditsmedian 1 overall pickwhat happened — 1 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksFernando Mendoza

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksRueben BainWashington Commanders

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 7

    What happenedWent 15mocked at 7
    70.71Close · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksDiego Pavia

    Diego Pavia to be picked “I don't think he's gonna get drafted”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    85.4naive 50

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