Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 2, 2026

Eisen endorsed the assumption that Fernando Mendoza is the No. 1 overall pick, and reaffirmed their earlier prediction that the Texans reach the Super Bowl.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
And so we are all assuming Fernando Mendoza goes one mic, and then so the Jets have, they're they're the first on the clock of this.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode
Hour 3: Mike Mayock Talks NFL Combine & Draft, plus Jaxson Dart, and Jerry Jones Debates
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidMar 2
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“And so we are all assuming Fernando Mendoza goes one mic”
  2. 2Houston Texans to reach the Super Bowl“At the Texans. Oh, I did say they were going to the Super Bowl. ... I said the Texans were going to the Super Bowl.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 11Mock Draft PicksWent 110050—
Houston Texans to reach the Super Bowl2Conference Champions————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting10050

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 conference champion and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Fernando Mendoza · 2026 season · overall pick

14 calls from 13 pundits between 1 overall pick and 2 overall pick. Rich Eisen said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick

Rich Eisen — 1 overall pickthe room — 14 calls from 13 punditsmedian 1 overall pickwhat happened — 1 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksFernando Mendoza

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Conference ChampionsHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to reach the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these